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Cubs vs Brewers – MLB Pick for April 5th

It almost seemed to good to be true. I got to back Cory Kluber on the run line and get dog money? And as usually is the case, if something seems too good to be true, then it is probably too good to be true.

Things were looking great as the Indians held a two-run lead going into the bottom of the fifth inning and Kluber was cruising. Then something, or should I say, someone, happened.

Shohei Ohtani blasted a two-run shot off of Kluber in the bottom of the fifth to tie the game up at two runs apiece. Ohtani has been on an absolute tear at the plate so far this season. The Japanese import is slashing .429 with two home runs and five RBIs in just four games. Any doubt whether or not this guy could hit at a major league level is quickly being erased as he continues to hit for both power and average.

This game ended up going all the way to the thirteenth inning before the Angels finally scored the walk-off win on Zack Cozart’s second home run of the season. Kluber pitched great all afternoon and gave up just three hits, but with one bad pitch to Ohtani, his night was ruined. For today’s pick, I will look at the Chicago Cubs as they their play divisional rivals, the Milwaukee Brewers.

The Chicago Cubs are in Milwaukee for game one of a four-game series with the Brewers. There is rarely any love lost when these two National League Central foes matchup. The Cubs have come out of the gates a bit slow and have lost two straight games.

For the Brewers, they are sputtering a bit as well as they just dropped two out of three to the Cardinals in their last series. The Cubs will start Jon Lester (0-0 8.10 ERA), and the Brewers will counter with Brent Suter (1-0 5.40 ERA). The Cubs are -118 road favorites. The game total over-under is set at nine runs. First pitch is scheduled for 5:10 PM PST from Miller Park.

The Chicago Cubs set a very dubious record through five games. They set a new National League record for the most strikeouts through the first five games of the season ever at 58 Ks. That is not the type of record you want your team to be setting if you are a Cubs fan. This season has been marred by the fact that many of these Cubs power bats just aren’t hitting.

This feels like just a bump in the road for a Cubs team that should be very good this season. I just don’t believe the Anthony Rizzo is a .130 hitter, or that Javier Baez is going to keep hitting .111. Better times are going to come for the Cubs, but the question is, just how soon? They are hoping better times are here for tonight’s starting pitcher Jon Lester as well.

Jon Lester has been a winner everywhere he has gone. He won world titles with the Boston Red Sox and the Cubs and has played key roles for those championship teams. Whenever his team really needs a win, Lester is there to pick his squad up.

The Cubs really need a win tonight. Lester started the season out shaky as he was only able to go 3.1 innings on opening day against the Miami Marlins. He gave up four runs, three of them earned, and pitched just seventy-one pitches. They are going to need a much better effort out of Lester tonight if they want to win on the road.

Brent Suter is a young up and coming pitcher that could make a big leap this season. Suter had his first full season in the majors last year for Milwaukee and acquitted himself very well. Suter went back and forth between the starting rotation and the bullpen and had some success in both roles.

Suter finished the season with a 3-2 record and an ERA of just 3.42, not bad for the young lefty. In Suter’s first start this season, he led his team to victory as he pitched five innings and gave up three runs in a win over the San Diego Padres. It was by no means a dominant start, but he got the job done, and his team walked away with the win.

The Cubs are a better team than they are showing right now. They just have to be. This lineup is full of talented guys, and they just aren’t going to play this bad all year long, they are too good. This weekend is as good as any to break out of that slump. And who better to be on the mound then their consummate professional, Jon Lester?

I expect Lester to be better and go deeper into the game tonight then he did on opening day and the Cubs to finally stop swinging and missing so much. Sutter has never been a big strikeout guy, averaging just seven strikeouts per nine innings for his career, and I think the Cubs will start putting the bat on the ball tonight in Milwaukee.

Give me the Chicago Cubs as small road favorites tonight against the Brewers!

The Bet: Chicago Cubs -118

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