Cubs vs. Cardinals MLB Pick – July 30th

An important series in the NL Central begins tonight in St. Louis between the Chicago Cubs and Cardinals. The Cubs continue on their road trip, as they arrive in St. Louis for the third and final stop on their nine-game trip. They’ve gone 2-4 thus far, which isn’t good, but is in line with that they’ve done in the past this season on the road. The Cubs haven’t been very good visitors at all in 2019, much to the glee of their opponents. Despite not playing their best baseball lately and suffering on the road, the Cubs are still in a tie for 1st in the NL Central. No one else has been great, so it’s allowing them to hang around. They’re tied with the Cardinals, while the Brewers are just a game back.

This series could ultimately decide what happens in the division. If the Cardinals or Cubs win the division and it’s a game or two difference, this might be a series to look back at. There is still going to be a lot of time left to make a run for any team, though. However, nobody has seemed to want to go on a run. As soon as it looks like something is brewing, a bout of regression hits and nothing comes of it. That goes for the Cubs and Brewers especially. The Cardinals have been playing like the best team in the NL Central since the All-Star Game.

The Cubs were able to get a win in Milwaukee over the weekend thanks to a 11-4 effort Sunday. Leaving Milwaukee without a win would have been tough. Kyle Schwarber had a monster game, which included 7 RBI’s and a grand slam. That could be what it takes to jumpstart for the Cubs and propel them into this important series against the Cards. Yu Darvish will get the starting honors for the Cubs in the opener, while Adam Wainwright is expected to go for the Cardinals. Head below for our free Cubs vs. Cardinals pick.

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Cubs -115/Cardinals -105
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Yu Darvish (3-4, 4.54 ERA)
  • Adam Wainwright (7-7, 4.63 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Cardinals are getting what you come to expect from Adam Wainwright in 2019. No one expected him to turn back the clocks to 2010, but staying the course is more like it, and that’s what he’s been doing this season. Wainwright has posted ERA’s of 4.62, 5.11, and 4.46 the last three seasons.

He’s right on pace with those numbers this season, as he goes into Tuesday with a 4.63 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Having said that, Wainwright has been getting rocked recently and will suddenly have to get the ship going in the right direction in one of his most important outings of the year thus far.

Wainwright has yielded 11 runs in 8.1 innings of work, which includes a 6.46 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in his previous three contests. After raking against the Brewers on Sunday, there is a good chance that it carries over against Wainwright. He doesn’t present the biggest challenge in this spot, or at least, isn’t worth the price that the oddsmakers are giving him. The Cubs, on the other hand, are hoping that the recent work from Yu Darvish is a sign of things to come.

Darvish catching fire would give the Cubs a nice lift down the stretch, which could ultimately be the x-factor. However, he was tagged for 4 runs in San Francisco after allowing no runs in 12 innings in his two outings before that. In any case, Darvish has been solid with a 2.00 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in his last three games.

He had a standout performance in his last trip to St. Louis, as he surrendered just 3 hits and 1-run in 6 innings. The Cards are hitting just .235 with 1 long ball against Yu in 51 at-bats. St. Louis should put up a fight here, but Wainwright doesn’t give me much confidence. I will be on the Cubs here at a fairly reasonable price.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.