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Cubs vs. Cardinals Pick MLB – June 18th

We cash another bet yesterday with the UNDER 8 in the Marlins/Diamondbacks game, now 4-1 in my last 5 picks. Still can’t believe the number was 8 on that one instead of 7, but either way, I took advantage of it. I feel for those people that had the DBacks, as Corbin allowed only 2 hits in the entire game, but they still came up empty with a 3-2 loss. When Corbin got pulled in the ninth for Heath Bell, it spelled doom for DBack backers.

Giancarlo Stanton is the only bat in the Marlins lineup, and he showcased that yesterday, belting a 2-run homer to tie it up, and then winning it in the top of the 9th with a solo shot. In the back of my mind there was the thought that there was going to be 5 runs scored in extra innings, but thankfully Bell made sure that wasn’t going to come to fruition, delivering a meatball in Stanton’s wheelhouse. To be completely honest, nothing really jumped out at me when I took an initial look at the card. Lots of big favorites, and plenty of sharp totals, but I think I found us a winner regardless.

Free MLB Pick:

Chicago Cubs +185 at St. Louis Cardinals -210 (Total: 7)

Jeff Samardzija (3-7, 3.46 ERA) vs. Adam Wainwright (10-3, 2.18 ERA)

When I think of Jeff Samardzija I still think of his days playing football at Notre Dame. He was actually Brady Quinn’s favorite target back in the day. Samardzija is a lengthy tall player that used his size to his advantage. With no NFL plans in the future, though, Samardzija took his talents to the baseball field and became a pitcher with the Chicago Cubs. Samardzija is making a good living for himself of course, but I wonder if he would have been more successful in the NFL as a slot receiver. I don’t think he was nearly quick enough, so he probably made the right choice.

Samardzija will be pitching against one of the most potent lineups in baseball today, the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals at 45-25 are the best team in MLB, and look primed to make a return trip to the World Series. In their last ten games they have been mediocre with a 6-4 record, but it’s always a great sign when 6-4 is considered vanilla in baseball. You almost expect them to go 8-2, 7-3 at this point.

Samardzija comes into Tuesday night with a respectable ERA of 3.46, but it’s what he has done lately that concerns me. In his last three games he has an ERA of 5.86, getting progressively worse. Against the DBacks three starts ago he allowed 3 runs, 4 runs against the Pirates, and then 5 against the Reds in his last start. This is the time of year where the good pitchers separate themselves from the average and bad ones, and it looks like Samardzija is going in the wrong direction. Also, the Cardinals have been hitting a whopping .284 off of righties this season!

The Cardinals counter with ace Adam Wainwright. While Samardzija is heading in the wrong direction, Wainwright is heading up. Well, Wainwright has been up all season long, but his recent efforts have been something to note. In his last three starts he has an ERA of 1.17 and spectacular WHIP of only 0.96. Wainwright is also stingy at home, posting an ERA of 1.35 and WHIP of 0.72. The Cardinals should win this one by more than a couple, so I feel comfortable taking them on the RL in this spot at even, or plus money depending on where you get it at.

Free Pick: Cardinals -1.5 (+100)