The World Series continues tonight back in Cleveland. The Indians will have two chances to win it at home, while the Cubs will have to win two in a row on the road. As a result of the American League winning the All-Star Game, the Indians have the privilege of hosting the final two games of the World Series. I provided my thoughts in the summer during the All-Star Game regarding this format, and I wasn’t a fan of the game getting home field advantage, and I still don’t like it.
A traditional model based on records from the regular season would have given the Cubs’ home field advantage. The Cubs lost two games at home, so regardless, it didn’t really mean much. After fending the Indians off in Game 5, the Cubs keep their hopes of winning their first World Series since 1908 alive.
The Blue Jays were able to extend the series for a game in their first do-or-die scenario, as did the Cubs in the World Series. However, the Indians sent the Blue Jays packing the next day. The Cubs will have to win three must-wins in a row to overcome the 3-1 series deficit. I said that the Jays could have come back, they didn’t, and here I am again saying it’s possible that the Cubs can come back. The Cubs have the talent, they’ve showcased it all season long, but they have some roadblocks to make it past.
If they force a seventh game tonight, they’re going to have to win it all against Corey Kluber. Jon Lester was the catalyst for the Cubs in extending the series. We wouldn’t be surprised to see Lester get the call in Game 7 against Kluber on short rest. The Cubs need Jake Arrieta to get them there first, though. Get our pick for Game 6 of the World Series between the Chicago Cubs and Cleveland Indians below.
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Indians
Jake Arrieta (19-9, 3.15 ERA) vs. Josh Tomlin (15-9, 4.18 ERA)
Jake Arrieta has the firepower to get the Cubs to a seventh game, the Indians can’t be counting their chips too early tonight. Arrieta showed it all of last season with his 1.77 ERA. He was at times dominant in 2016 but regressed backwards to an ERA over 3.00. All the Cubs need from him this season is one more strong start and they’d be elated. Arrieta will get the call for the second time in this series, the first going his way against the Indians. He allowed just 2 hits and 1 run in 5.2 innings pitched, a much improved showing from the 4 runs he allowed against the Dodgers. If Arrieta is in a groove, Josh Tomlin will have to pitch his way to a World Series for the Indians tonight.
Arrieta could certainly find that groove and leave Indians’ fans feeling a bit nervous. The nerves are going to be real if this thing makes it to Game 7, with the pressure back on Cleveland at home. Tomlin will look to put an end to the World Series tonight. He has been strong as can be lately, including in the postseason. Tomlin has posted an ERA of 1.76 in the postseason, with a 0.85 WHIP and .224 OBA. He’s given up just 3 runs in 14.4 innings pitched. He blanked the Cubs for 0 runs and 2 hits. It appears like we’re in store for another 3-2 or 4-2 ball game in Game 6 of the World Series. The UNDER is a solid option for wagering on this big game tonight.
PICK: UNDER 7 RUNS (+105)