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Cubs vs. Marlins MLB Pick – April 17th

The Chicago Cubs rode a dominating performance by Jose Quintana on Tuesday to dispatch the Miami Marlins, 4-0. They didn’t need much else, as it was a slow death for the Marlins who were never a threat at the plate. Quintana went seven strong, getting through innings quickly with just 13 pitchers per inning. The offense could have done far more damage. It felt like they had runners on base every inning with a chance to score and they couldn’t capitalize.

They did end up with 4 runs on the scoreboard, but it felt like it could have been a lot more. The win was just their seventh of the season, as they advanced to 7-9 on the year. They had a brutal start with losses in six of their first seven games. The Cubs opened with a win and then lost six straight for a record of 1-6. Everything appears to be evening out, though, as they are winners in four of their previous five games.

The Cubs have been making out well with their pitching stepping up. It was rather horrendous through the first couple of weeks. The most surprising had to be Carl Edwards and Steve Cishek out of the bullpen. They combined for a formidable force a relievers last season, but Edwards was sent down to AAA after getting hammered for a 32.40 ERA in 1.2 innings. Cishek hasn’t allowed a run in five appearances, so that’s a good sign, though.

It’s also a good sign to see the pitching staff allowing just 2 runs in the last two games. They’ve allowed 2 or less runs in four of their last five games. So, it’s been a combo of the starting pitching and relievers getting the job done. Cole Hamels will have the opportunity to keep it rolling for the Cubs. Countering Hamels for the Marlins will be Sandy Alcantara. He’s coming off a rough outing against the Phillies and will be looking for a bounce back performance this evening. Head below for our free Cubs vs. Marlins pick.

Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Cubs -160/Marlins +140
  • O/U: 8

Pitching Matchup:

  • Cole Hamels (2-0, 3.79 ERA)
  • Sandy Alcantara (1-1, 4.24 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The Marlins were expected to finish at the bottom of the majors, and a few weeks into the season, nothing has changed in that respect. The craziest thing about the Marlins is that they could have had Giancarlo Stanton and Christian Yelich playing on the same team. Along with those two, Marcell Ozuna is on a massive tear at the moment, so those are three guys that would have made this lineup a juggernaut.

Then consider how good of a pitcher Jose Fernandez was. They obviously couldn’t have controlled his death, but this team would have been stacked to the ceiling. Miami opted to say goodbye to Stanton, Yelich, and Ozuna, three guys who would have had this team thinking postseason. They may find some talented prospects in the trades they made, but they could have been a major contender right now.

Instead, the Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games and own a record of 4-14. Their offence has been absolutely putrid, with 2 or less runs scored in seven of their last eight games. Take away that outlier game they had against the Phillies, where they scored 10 runs, and they’ve averaged 1.3 runs per game in nine of their last ten outings. That is absolutely not going to get it done.

Hamels had a tough opener but has since settled in nicely. He gave up 6 hits and 5 runs in 5 innings to send his ERA pretty high, but that’s since been addressed in his previous two outings. He allowed 2 runs on the road against a good Milwaukee offense, and then followed it up with a dominating eight-inning performance against the Angels in his most recent showing.

He held them to 4 hits and 1 run in 8 innings of ball. And most impressive, Hamels hasn’t delivered a walk in 14 innings of work. Conversely, Alcantara just got hammered with 11 hits and 6 runs allowed in a 9-1 loss to the Phillies. He made a nice debut in 2019, but has since watched his ERA regress to 4.24 with a 1.53 WHIP.

Alcantara shouldn’t expect much run support from his offense, so he is likely going to have to be sharper than that. The price in last nights game made no sense and we took advantage. The oddsmakers are getting better with -160, but I still think it’s too cheap against the Marlins. After cashing the Cubs last night, there should be another winning ticket with their name on it this evening in Miami.

The Bet
CUBS

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