Cubs vs. Mets MLB Pick – August 27th

Two teams with a combined record of 0-6 go into Tuesday seeking a much needed lift at Citi Field. The Mets were losers in three straight against the Braves, while the Cubs did the same against the Nationals. And no that wasn’t at home, either. The Cubs have typically played at a high level at home and look like a bunch of scrubs as visitors.

That wasn’t the case, as the Nationals brought their best effort to Wrigley and stole three wins. It made for a tremendous weekend for the Nationals. They bolster their wildcard resume with the successful weekend in Chicago. Meanwhile, the Cubs remain stuck three games behind the Cardinals for the top of the NL Central.

The Cubs continue to have a wildcard in their possession, but it isn’t taking much to get there in the National League. Other than the Nationals, there isn’t another team who deserves to be playing in a Wild Card Game at this time. Somebody has to be there, though, so we’ll see how things play out down the stretch. It continues to be a tight battle, with five teams within 4.5 games of going to the postseason.

So, something has to give between the Cubs and Mets in Queens. Both teams are hungry for wins. One winning streak is going to be coming to an end and the other will be extended to four games. The Mets need a win more than the Cubs do. They’re going home if the postseason started today.

They need a hot September to get in with a wildcard. Staying still will not be enough, as the Mets head into Monday down by two games in the National League. Marcus Stroman is expected for the start, while Yu Darvish is scheduled for the Cubs. Head below for our free Cubs vs. Mets pick.

Chicago Cubs vs. N.Y. Mets Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Mets -112/Cubs -108
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Yu Darvish (4-6, 4.43 ERA)
  • Marcus Stroman (1-0, 4.58 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Yu Darvish has been one of the more well-known pitchers this season to be so hit and miss. He has been all over the place and there doesn’t appear to be any consistency soon. Most recently, for instance, Darvish was tagged for 4 earned runs against the Reds. He flipped that poor outing around with a stellar performance against the Phillies.

Darvish neutralized the Phillies for no runs across 7 innings of work with ten strikeouts. Then he went out and got hammered in his very next start. Darvish allowed 7 hits and 6 earned runs against the Giants at Wrigley Field. In that outing, Darvish was torched for 4 home runs. Any confidence people have in him can quickly be diminished pretty quickly in 2019.

Marcus Stroman is coming off his best appearance with the Mets. We were waiting for him to look elite like he was in Toronto and Stroman was able to get it against the Indians. He allowed 1 earned run in 4 innings to pick up a 4-3 win over the Tribe. He was also sharp on the road against the Braves prior to that performance, allowing 2 earned runs in 5.1 innings of play.

Stroman goes into this contest with a 1.80 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in his last three contests. He posted an ERA of 2.96 with the Blue Jays and I think we’ll begin to see some positive regression closer to that number. It’s well-documented how terrible the Cubs have been on the road in 2019.

Note that the Cubs are a 25-39 road team, as opposed to 44-22 at Wrigley. Anthony Rizzo is questionable for Tuesday with back pain. That would take away a nice bat out of the Cubs’ lineup. Side with the Mets to win in front of the home crowd against the Cubs here.

The Bet
METS
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.