Cubs vs. Padres MLB Pick – September 9th

An ugly finish to the weekend for the Chicago Cubs in Milwaukee. They opened the series with a win, but reverted to their old ways on the road with three straight losses. That could have been a kill shot to the Brewers’ chances, but they were able to step up with an impressive weekend at Miller Park. We’ll see if this can act as sort of a springboard to a deep into the postseason. The weekend did the Brewers well, as they’re now just two games back of a wildcard. The Diamondbacks and the Cubs are between them and the Wild Card Game at the moment.

It’s crazy to think that the Diamondbacks are right there. They’ve been the hottest team in the National League the last couple of weeks and have to keep going if they want to complete the comeback. As far as the Cubs are concerned, they must forget about the last three days and focus on the Padres out west. They have a 1.5-game advantage on the Diamondbacks going into Monday. Catching the Cardinals is going to be tougher, as they’re 4.5 back in that respect.

The Cubs must learn how to win on the road. Maybe something changes if they get into the postseason, but as it stands now, the Cubs are going to have to win a do-or-die game on the road as a wildcard. They are three games behind the Nationals for homefield advantage in the Wild Card Game.

They face a beatable Padres team over the next four days, so this has to be a good series for them. They will head home after for ten straight games at home, so it’s an opportunity to go into that homestand with momentum. The Cubs will send out Kyle Hendricks to the bump for this one. He’s been an underrated asset for the Cubs in 2019. Cal Quantrill will counter for the Padres. Head below for our free Cubs vs. Padres pick.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Cubs -138/Padres +118
  • O/U: 8

Pitching Matchup:

  • Kyle Hendricks (9-9, 3.39 ERA)
  • Cal Quantrill (6-6, 4.57 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Kyle Hendricks has been an unsung catalyst of the Cubs’ rotation in 2019. He may not be the flashiest pitcher or well-known, but Hendricks has consistently been getting it done for the Cubs. They’ve had guys like Yu Darvish who haven’t been the most consistent, so Hendricks has been a welcome arm in their arsenal. Hendricks goes into this matchup with a 3.39 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 154 innings of work. He is coming off a sharp performance against the Mariners, having allowed just 1-run in 6 innings.

In his previous 12 games, Hendricks has allowed 2 runs or less in 10 of them. He had a couple of trouble spots in there on the road. He was hammered for 6 runs and 7 runs against the Mets and Reds to skew his numbers up as a visitor. Hendricks carries a 5.20 ERA and 1.44 WHIP on the road.

That sounds bad, but it’s been four poor outings that have been responsible for that. In his nine other starts on the road, Hendricks has been strong. He’s been solid against the Padres in his career, as they’re hitting .244 in 82 at-bats against Hendricks.

Cal Quantrill has gotten absolutely whacked in his last two appearances on the bump. If we didn’t know any better, I’d say the guy is injured or very fatigued. Quantrill allowed 8 earned runs against the Dodgers and then did the same thing against the Diamondbacks immediately after.

The D-backs throttled Quantrill for 8 earned runs as well for a total of 16 runs allowed in 9.1 innings. Quantrill goes into Monday with an ERA of 11.15 and 1.76 WHIP in his previous three showings. After three ugly days in a row for the Cubs, look for them to get back on track in San Diego tonight.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.