Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick – July 23

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball throughout July 23. Sixteen games are up on the board throughout Saturday. One of these games will be between the Chicago Cubs and the Philadelphia Phillies. These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will start at around 6:05 PM Eastern time.

Chicago has earned a record of 36-57 throughout this season, which has them sitting in fourth place of the NL Central. The Cubs have won two games in a row, but are 2-8 throughout their last 10 games. Chicago has fallen far out of the playoff race, but will look to get the win in this one. The Cubs will look to step up on the road early in this one.

The Phillies have put up a record of 49-44 so far on the season, which has them in third place of the NL East. Philadelphia is coming off a loss in their last game, but have gone 5-5 in their last 10 matchups. The Phillies are eight and a half games back on the top spot in the division. Philadelphia will look for a win on Saturday afternoon.

These two teams have had opposite seasons so far, but will look for big wins in this one. The Cubs have won their last two games, but have struggled overall this season. Philadelphia will look to bounce back after a loss on Friday night. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Chicago Cubs +1 ½ (-150) +134 Over 8 (+100)
Philadelphia Phillies -1 ½ (+130) -160 Under 8 (-120)
Team Data Chicago Cubs Philadelphia Phillies
Overall Record 36-57 49-44
Away/ Home Record 18-25 24-22
Batting Average .246 .245
Batting Average Away/ Home .240 .249
ERA 4.55 3.82
ERA Away/ Home 4.84 3.69

Betting Trends

Chicago Cubs

  • 6-11 in July games
  • 7-11 when playing on a Saturday
  • 20-38 in night games
  • 26-41 against right handers
  • 15-19 after a win
  • 21-32 against team with a winning record

Philadelphia Phillies

  • 9-7 in July
  • 10-4 when playing on Saturday
  • 31-31 in night games
  • 34-32 against right handed starters
  • 3-2 after allowing 10 or more runs
  • 19-24 after a loss
  • 18-15 against team with a losing record

These two teams met up once this season on Friday night. Kyle Schwarber and Darick Hall both hit home runs, but it was not enough for the Phillies. Nelson Velazquez had two home runs and five RBI’s. Ian Happ, Nico Hoerner and Seiya Suzuki both had two RBI’s. Chicago earned a 15-2 win on the road.

Offense

The Cubs have been solid hitting the ball throughout the season. Chicago has a .246 batting average, which is 12th in the league. The Cubs have earned an on base percentage of .321, which is 7th in the MLB. Chicago has posted a .717 OPS, which is 13th in the league. The Cubs have a BA of .248 against right handers.

Philadelphia has been solid at the plate as well this season. The Phillies have a batting average of .245, which is 13th in the MLB. Philadelphia has put up a .311 OBP, which is 18th in the league. The Phillies have earned an OPS of .728, which is 9th in the MLB. Philadelphia has hit .243 against righties this season.

These two teams have been solid hitting the ball this season. The Cubs have a bit better batting average and OBP this season, while Philadelphia has the better OPS. The Phillies had only 6 hits with 2 runs in Friday’s loss. Chicago earned 19 hits and 15 runs in the win. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Marcus Stroman will likely get the start at pitcher for Chicago in this one. Stroman has started in 11 games this season, going 2-5 in those matchups. He has posted a 4.69 ERA and a WHIP of 1.15 in those outings. Stroman’s last start was against the New York Mets. He gave up one hit and one run through four and a third innings in the no decision.

I expect Zack Wheeler to get the nod on the mound for the Phillies on Saturday night. Wheeler has earned a record of 8-5 throughout his 17 starts this season. He has put up an ERA of 2.89 and a 1.08 WHIP in those matchups. Wheeler pitched four and two thirds innings in his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays. He gave up seven hits and six runs in the loss.

Wheeler is coming off a loss in his last start, but has won two games in a row. Stroman will look to build on his last matchup early in this game. Philadelphia has the edge in the bullpen in this one. The Phillies relievers have a combined ERA of 3.87, which is 16th in the league. Chicago’s bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, which is 24th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

Philadelphia has been the better team throughout this season and will look to bounce back after losing their last matchup. The Cubs were able to dominate the Phillies in Friday’s win and will look to keep it going. Philadelphia has the better pitching in this one and will look to get their bats going early. If the Phillies can get the early start, it could be enough for the win.

Bovada has the Phillies listed as a -160 against the money line in this one. This implies that Philadelphia will win this game around 61.5 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate, but has little value. The Phillies are also listed at -1 ½ for +130 in this one. I think with Wheeler on the mound Philadelphia can run away with this one.

The Bet
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
+130
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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