Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick – July 24

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball throughout July 24. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout Sunday. One of these games will be between the Chicago Cubs and the Philadelphia Phillies. These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings, but will look for a win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 12:05 PM Eastern time on Peacock.

Chicago has earned a record of 37-57 throughout this season, which has them sitting in fourth place of the NL Central. The Cubs have won three games in a row, but have gone 3-7 throughout their last 10 games. Chicago has fallen out of the playoff race, but will look to bounce back in this one. The Cubs will look for a big win as they meet up on Sunday.

The Phillies have put up a record of 49-45 so far on the season, which has them in third place of the NL East. Philadelphia has lost two games in a row and have gone 4-6 in their last 10 matchups. The Phillies are one game out of a wild card spot, but will look to step up in this one. Philadelphia will look for a fast start at home in this one.

These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings, but will look for a big win in this one. The Cubs have been solid in their last stretch of games and will look to step up again in this one. Philadelphia will look to get back into a playoff spot with a win in this one. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Chicago Cubs +1 ½ (-160) +113 Over 10 (-110)
Philadelphia Phillies -1 ½ (+135) -135 Under 10 (-110)
Team Data Chicago Cubs Philadelphia Phillies
Overall Record 37-57 49-45
Away/ Home Record 19-25 24-23
Batting Average .246 .244
Batting Average Away/ Home .239 .247
ERA 4.51 3.82
ERA Away/ Home 4.73 3.69

Betting Trends

Chicago Cubs

  • 7-11 in July games
  • 6-9 when playing on Sunday
  • 16-19 in day games
  • 10-16 against left handers
  • 16-19 after a win
  • 22-32 against team with a winning record

Philadelphia Phillies

  • 9-8 in July
  • 6-10 when playing on a Sunday
  • 18-13 in day games
  • 15-12 against left handed starters
  • 19-25 after a loss
  • 18-16 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up twice throughout the season. The first game was on Friday night in Philadelphia. Nelson Velazquez had five RBI’s, while Seiya Suzuki, Ian Happ and Nico Hoerner both had two RBI’s as Chicago won 15-2. Hoerner and Velazquez both added an RBI in Saturday’s tilt as the Cubs won 6-2.

Offense

The Cubs have been solid hitting the ball throughout the season. Chicago has a batting average of .246, which is 13th in the MLB. The Cubs have posted a .321 on base percentage, which is 7th in the league. Chicago has earned an OPS of .717, which is also 13th in the MLB. The Cubs have hit .243 against lefties this season.

Philadelphia has been solid at the plate as well on the season. The Phillies have a .244 batting average, which is 15th in the league. Philadelphia has earned an OBP of .311, which is 19th in the MLB. The Phillies have put up a .726 OPS, which is 9th in the league. Philadelphia has a BA of .249 against left handers.

These two teams have been similar at the plate throughout the season and will look to get going early in this one. Chicago has been the better team in batting average and on base percentage, while the Phillies have a bit better OPS. Philadelphia will look to bounce back after a rough outing in the first two games. If either team can hit well, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

I expect Drew Smyly to get the start at pitcher for Chicago in this one. Smyly has started in 11 games this season, going 2-5 in those matchups. He has posted a 4.22 ERA and a WHIP of 1.35 in those games. Smyly’s last start was against the New York Mets. He gave up five hits and one run through four and a third innings in the no decision.

Bailey Falter will likely get the nod on the mound for the Phillies on Sunday afternoon. Falter has earned a record of 0-2 throughout his 9 appearances this season. He has put up an ERA of 4.82 and a WHIP of 1.46 in those outings. Falter pitched four innings in his last start against the Washington Nationals. He gave up six hits and two runs in the no decision.

These two pitchers have been solid in their limited starts this season and will look to come out fast in this one. Philadelphia has the edge in the bullpen entering this game. The Phillies relievers have a combined ERA of 3.92, which is 16th in the league. The Cubs bullpen has a 4.24 ERA, which is 23rd in the MLB.

Pick Overview

The Cubs have won the first two games of this set and will look to pull off the sweep on Sunday. Philadelphia has been the better team this season and I expect them to bounce back at home. The Phillies have the better hitters and pitching staff entering this one. If Philadelphia can get the early lead, I think they can hold on for the win.

Bovada has the Phillies listed as a -135 against the money line. This implies that Philadelphia will win this game around 57.5 percent of the time. I think that this line could be bigger with the Phillies at home looking to avoid the sweep. Philadelphia will look to step up early in this one. As slight favorites, I like the value on the Phillies to earn the win.

The Bet
Philadelphia Phillies
-135
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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