Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick – September 15

The MLB is set up with another great day of baseball on September 15. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout Wednesday. One of these matchups will be between the Chicago Cubs and the Philadelphia Phillies. These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings, but will look for a big win in this one.

Chicago has earned a record of 66-79 throughout this season, which has them sitting in fourth place of the NL Central. The Cubs are coming off a win in their last game and are 6-4 in their last ten. Chicago will look to keep it going with another win in this one. Chicago has fallen out of the playoff picture, but will look to play spoiler late in the season.

The Phillies have put up a record of 72-72 on the season, which has them sitting in second place of the NL East. Philadelphia is four and a half games back on the top seeded Atlanta Braves. The Phillies have lost their last two games and are 3-7 throughout their last ten matchups. Philadelphia will look to finish strong as they fight for a playoff spot.

These two teams are sitting in opposite positions in the standings, but I expect another exciting matchup between the two. The Cubs have been much better as of late and will look to knock off Philadelphia in this one. The Phillies have struggled to get anything going and need to figure it out soon. If either team can jump out to an early lead in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Chicago Cubs +1 ½ (-120) +179 Over 9 (-110)
Philadelphia Phillies -1 ½ (+100) -195 Under 9 (-110)

 

Team Data Chicago Cubs Philadelphia Phillies
Overall Record 66-79 72-72
Away/ Home Record 27-43 40-32
Batting Average .232 .240
Batting Average Away/ Home .227 .240
ERA 4.73 4.47
ERA Away/ Home 4.79 4.18

Betting Trends

Chicago Cubs

  • 30-56 as underdog this season
  • 50-36 against the run line as underdogs
  • 17-37 as road underdog
  • 34-31 after a win
  • 8-4 in September games
  • 11-11 on Wednesday

Philadelphia Phillies

  • 38-40 when favored this season
  • 23-55 against the run line as favorites
  • 27-22 as home favorite
  • 40-30 after a loss
  • 4-8 in September
  • 8-11 on Wednesday

These two teams have five times throughout this season. Philadelphia is 3-2 against the Cubs on the season. The Phillies have also outscored Chicago 42-27 in those matchups. The Cubs opened up this set with a win though and will look to take the series with another win on Wednesday. Philadelphia will look to bounce back in this one.

Offense

The Cubs have struggled a bit at the plate throughout this season. Chicago has earned a batting average of .232, which is 28th in the league. The Cubs have hit a .709 OPS, which is 22nd in the MLB. Chicago has also scored 622 runs, which is 20th in the league this season.

Philadelphia has been solid with the bats in their hands on the season. The Phillies have posted a .240 batting average, which is 18th in the MLB. Philadelphia has earned an OPS of .709, which is 22nd in the league. The Phillies have hit in 654 runs on the season, which is 14th in the MLB.

The Phillies have a slight edge with the bats in their hands entering this one. Chicago has a right hander starting on the mound in this one, while Philadelphia will be going with a lefty. The Cubs have earned a BA of .247 and a .748 OPS against left handers. The Phillies have hit a .236 batting average and an OPS of .716 against righties.

Pitching Preview

I expect Alec Mills to get the start on the mound for Chicago in this one. Mills has played in 28 games this season, going 6-6 in those outings. He has posted a 4.35 ERA and a WHIP of 1.38 in those games played. Mills pitched six innings in his last start against the Cincinnati Reds. He gave up four hits and one run in the no decision.

Ranger Suarez will likely get the nod at pitcher for the Phillies on Wednesday night. Suarez has earned a record of 6-4 throughout his 35 appearances this season. He has put up an ERA of 1.38 and a 1.03 WHIP in those performances. Suarez’s last start was against the Colorado Rockies. He gave up five hits and one run through six innings in the no decision.

These two pitchers have been solid this season, but Suarez give the edge to Philadelphia. The Cubs have the better bullpen in this one though. Chicago’s relievers have posted an ERA of 4.22, which is 18th in the MLB. The Phillies bullpen has earned a 4.65 ERA, which is 24th in the league. Both teams will look for their starters to go deep in this one though.

Pick Overview

These two teams have played in some exciting games this season, but I think that the Phillies will bounce back with a big win on Wednesday night. Philadelphia has been better with the bats in their hands and they have the better starter on the mound. The Phillies need to get things going if they want to make the playoffs and I think they will show some urgency in this game.

BetOnline has Philadelphia listed as a -195 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Phillies will win this game around 66.1 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate, but there is little value in it. Philadelphia is also listed at -1 ½ for +100. I think that the Phillies will come out strong in this one and can cover the run line at home.

The Bet
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
+100
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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