Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Pick – MLB June 20, 2022

The Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox open a three-game series at Fenway Park tonight. Boston is coming off a successful series after two of three wins at home against the St. Louis Cardinals.

They responded well on Sunday afternoon following an 11-2 loss the night before. Nick Pivetta delivered another strong performance this season, holding the Cardinals to 4 hits and 1 earned run through 7 innings.

The Red Sox are 36-31 and 13.5 games behind the New York Yankees for the lead in the AL East. They’ve been fine this season, but it’s tough to find success in a division that features the New York Yankees.

The Yankees keep on winning and winning, as they’ve extended their record to 49-17 after winning two of three games at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. They couldn’t sweep on Sunday after falling in an entertaining 10-9 final, but the Yankees are the team to beat.

Boston just has to worry about themselves and not look at the Yankees. If they’re not going to catch the Yankees, the wildcard race will be interesting. Buckle up because nothing is likely to be decided until the final days of the regular season.

The Tigers are feeling good after back-to-back wins versus the Texas Rangers.

This season has not gone according to the Tigers’ plans. They had high ambitions for this season and were expected to be more competitive.

There is still ample time for the Tigers to get something going. Next season could be a make-or-break season for GM Al Avila. It’s hard to see him survive if the Tigers aren’t trending in the right direction.

The Tigers are going into Monday night at 26-40 after a win on Sunday. The Tigers were on a six-game skid before getting things in order over the weekend. Head below for our free Tigers vs. Red Sox prediction on June 20, 2022.

Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-120) +148 Over 9.5 (-110)
Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+100) -180 Under 9.5 (-110)
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Team Data Detroit Tigers Boston Red Sox
Overall Record 26-40 36-31
Away/Home Record 9-18 17-16
Batting Average .222 .254
Batting Average Away/Home .204 .265
Runs Per 9 2.95 4.79
Team ERA 4.01 3.65
Team ERA Away/Home 3.87 4.05

Tigers vs. Red Sox Prediction:

The Tigers were expected to do much bigger things at the plate this season. Big things are expected out of Spencer Torkelson in his career, but he’s been going through a big learning curve in his rookie campaign.

The 22-year-old is hitting .190 with 4 home runs. The idea is for Torkelson to take the offense to a new level in the coming years, but the first overall pick from the 2020 draft is using this season to gain experience.

That said, the Tigers should improve on their current mark of 2.95 runs scored per 9 innings.

It has been less than an ideal start, but I have some confidence in the bats finding more offense in the summer. The last two games were a great look for the Tigers.

The Tigers scored 21 runs over the last two days and have a favorable matchup against Josh Winckowski. Winckowski will make the third start of his major league career tonight.

Winckowski has posted an ERA of 4.50 and a 1.75 WHIP in two starts across 8 innings of work. After allowing 6 hits and 4 earned runs to the Orioles in his debut, Winckowski settled in to go 5 scoreless innings in a 10-1 win over the Oakland Athletics.

His biggest problem through 8 innings has been putting runners on base.

Winckowski has a 1.75 WHIP and .368 OBA going into Monday night. The Tigers aren’t doing what they did against the Rangers at Fenway, but they feel confident now and should have some quality innings at the dish.

Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 3-7
  • 1-7 overall in their previous eight games versus the AL East
  • 6-18 overall in their previous 24 games as an underdog on the road
  • OVER is 5-0 in their previous five games at Boston
  • OVER is 6-1-1 in their previous eight first game of a series
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games after their opponent scores 5 or more runs

Red Sox

  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 5-0 overall in their previous five first game of a series
  • 9-2 overall in their previous 11 games as a betting favorite
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games at home
  • OVER is 5-1 in their previous six games versus a right-handed starter
  • OVER is 5-0 in their previous five games versus the Tigers at home

  • Alex Faedo is making the ninth start of his career, as this is rookie versus rookie on Monday night. Faedo enters with an ERA of 4.28 and a 1.40 WHIP.

    In his previous three starts, Faedo has notched an ERA of 6.92 and a 1.63 WHIP.

    He will see a confident Red Sox offense on the mound tonight. The Red Sox are the third-best team in the majors, with a team batting average of .258. They’re hitting .265 with 4.89 runs per 9 innings.

    In their last five outings, the Red Sox hit .285 with 5.79 runs scored per 9 innings. The Tigers scored 4.60 runs per 9 innings on .259 hitting during that time.

    The Tigers’ pitching staff has posted a 6.40 ERA and .294 average against in their last five. The bullpen should look leaky at Fenway tonight. I’m on the OVER in a 6-5 final or thereabout in Boston.


    Tigers vs. Red Sox Pick
    OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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