Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick – MLB July 25, 2020

    Ivan Nova (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Luis Castillo (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

The Cincinnati Reds opened the season with an impressive beatdown on the Detroit Tigers. Big things are expected out of the Reds this season and they made a statement on Opening Day. Sonny Gray had a standout day, as Sonny Gray yielded 3 hits and 1 run in 6 innings. He did not care for playing with the New York Yankees, but his career with the Oakland Athletics and Reds has been impressive.

The pressure of being a Yankee playing in the Bronx might have got to him. However, in smaller markets in Oakland and Cincinnati, Gray has proven that he can pitch. The offense took care of the rest for the Reds. They scored 7 runs behind a monster 4-RBI performance from Mike Moustakas. The former Kansas City Royal went 3 for 4 on the day to propel the Reds to a win on Opening Day.

Along with Nicholas Castellanos added to the equation, the Reds have a well-rounded roster that puts them in a good position to win the NL Central. They might have a touch more depth than the Cubs and Brewers have, though it’s going to be a tight race between those three clubs. The Reds are certainly more dangerous than they were a season ago. And no, beating up on the Tigers isn’t the best barometer of establishing whether the Reds are divisional winners or not.

The Tigers appear to be in mid-season form with their effort on Opening Day. In the midst of a rebuilding phase, the Tigers are hoping for progress in 2020. They finished last season with a record of 47-114 for dead last in the major leagues. That got them the first overall selection in the draft, which resulted in Arizona State product, Spencer Torkelson, going to the Tigers. Torkelson isn’t ready for the big leagues, but he’s a major part of their rebuilding process.

Matt Boyd struggled in his role as the Opening Day starter for the Tigers on Friday. He was tagged with 6 hits and 4 earned runs over 5 innings of work. The Tigers will turn to former Yankee, Ivan Nova, with the starting call on Saturday. He will pitch opposite Luis Castillo of the Reds. Head below for our free Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds pick for July 25, 2020 in MLB.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Tigers +1.5 (-110)
  • Reds -1.5 (-110)
Moneyline:

  • Tigers (+192)
  • Reds (-210)
Total Points:

  • Over 9 (-115)
  • Under 9 (-105)

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Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction:

The Tigers will look for better fortunes with Ivan Nova on the hill Saturday. Nova was one of the most promising young pitchers in the Yankees’ rotation early in his career. In his third season in the majors, Nova notched a career-high ERA of 3.10 in 2013. Instead of building on that, Nova went in the wrong direction and has been dealing with injuries throughout his career well.

Nova is still searching for a season with an ERA below 4.00 since that season. In his previous four years, Nova has been consistent, but he likely wants to get those numbers up a bit. Nova has posted an ERA of 4.17, 4.14, 4.19, and 4.72 his last four seasons. So while he hasn’t been getting hammered, and fine enough to stick in a major league rotation, Nova hasn’t done anything special since 2013 in the Bronx.

If Nova is depending on run support from his teammates, he’s going to be disappointed. Before the Tigers develop some of their young talent like Torkelson, runs are going to come at a premium again this season in Detroit. With just 3.61 runs scored per game last season, the Tigers were dead last offensively in the majors. They were sellers at the deadline, sending their best bat, Nick Castellanos, over to the Reds. Don’t expect too much out of the Tigers’ offense in 2020. They need time to grow.

Luis Castillo reached the 2019 All-Star Game only in his third, and second full-time season, in the major leagues. He ended the season with a 3.40 ERA and 1.14 WHIP to spearhead an impressive 1-2 punch with Sonny Gray. Castillo showed promise as a rookie in 15 starts. He posted an ERA of 3.12 and 1.07 WHIP. The Reds likely have one of the most underrated arms in their starting rotation this year in Castillo. I don’t know if the Reds win as big as they did on Opening Day, but a comfortable win should be available for Cincinnati.

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The Bet
CINCINNATI REDS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.