Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick – September 1, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Michael Fulmer (0-0, 8.79 ERA) vs. Josh Lindblom (1-2, 6.31 ERA)

The Detroit Tigers and Milwaukee Brewers will play the first of two games in a short two-game interleague series tonight. The Tigers might be on the outside of the AL Central, but for a team that is in a rebuilding phase, they haven’t been playing bad baseball in 2020.

The Tigers enter Miller Park with a record of 16-16 for a chance of reaching the postseason as a bottom seed. They are within striking distance in the AL Central. However, it’s hard to envision them erasing a 4.5-game deficit to catch the White Sox.

With all of the teams that Major League Baseball is allowing into the postseason this year, there’s a chance that the Tigers can find a way in the backdoor. I don’t think the Tigers are going to get anything done this season, personally, but they are trending in the right direction for the future. There is a foundation that you can notice taking shape in Detroit.

There is still a lot of work and development that needs to be done. It’d be a disappointment if the Tigers aren’t contending in three or so years. If Casey Mize and Tarik Skubal come along nicely, who knows, the Tigers might be pretty dangerous in less than three years. I should include their No. 1 overall pick, Spencer Torkelson, in that discussion as well.

The Tigers are coming off a sweep over the Minnesota Twins. That’s an impressive three day for the Tigers. In their most recent outing, they edged out the Twins for a 3-2 win on Sunday. Mize was in great form, as he outdueled Kenta Maeda to lead the Tigers to a win and sweep.

Prior to that series, the Tigers won two of three games over the Cubs. They go into Milwaukee on Tuesday with five straight wins. Michael Fulmer will hit the hill for the Tigers tonight, while former KBOer, Josh Lindblom, will counter for the Brewers. Head below for our free Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewers pick for September 1, 2020.

Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Tigers OFF
  • Brewers OFF
Moneyline:

  • Tigers (+161)
  • Brewers (-175)
Total:

  • Over 9.5 (+100)
  • Under 9.5 (-120)

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Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction:

If Michael Fulmer could start pitching like he was as a rookie, then the Tigers would maybe be worth a look right now. However, Fulmer is taking it on the chin and his confidence appears to be shot. As a rookie in 2016, Fulmer posted an ERA of 3.06 and 1.12 WHIP. He was still reliable the following season, as Fulmer notched a 3.83 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. However, since then, Fulmer hasn’t been a pitcher that the Tigers have been able to lean on. Fulmer had a 4.69 ERA and 1.31 WHIP last season. A bounce-back season hasn’t been in the works for Fulmer, at least not yet.

The 27-year-old righty will go to the hill at Miller Park with an ERA of 8.79 and 1.95 WHIP on Tuesday evening. Teams are hitting .350 against Fulmer, so it’s been a major struggle for him. Along with the high batting average, Fulmer has issued seven walks through 14.1 innings. Fulmer has been unable to make it past 3 innings of work in 2020.

In his previous three starts across 8.7 innings, Fulmer has recorded an ERA of 10.38 and 2.08 WHIP. He had a brutal OBA of .452, with nearly half of batters he faced reaching base. In one game on the road, Fulmer was shelled for a 15.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP through 3 innings against the Indians at Progressive Field on August 21.

He just has to work on getting his confidence back at the moment. Josh Lindblom hasn’t had too much of it either. Lindblom, who has bounced between the KBO and MLB, is expected to get the starting nod tonight. Lindblom has a 6.31 ERA and 1.48 WHIP through six games and 25.2 innings. He’s gotten touched up for a 6.75 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 8 innings at Miller Park in Milwaukee. I think there is some value to be had with the OVER at even money.

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The Bet
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.