Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick – September 23, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Casey Mize (0-2, 6.08 ERA) vs. Kenta Maeda (5-1, 2.52 ERA)

The Detroit Tigers nearly got away with a big upset on the road, but were ultimately dispatched by a score of 5-4 in extra innings. The Tigers took a 4-3 lead in the top of the 10th, while the Twins fought back to score 2 runs in the bottom half.

With the win on Tuesday, the Twins are within a half game of the Chicago White Sox in the AL Central. They are going to the postseason, but the question is going to be whether they’re hosting the first round series at Target Field. The first round will be a play-in series to earn a trip to the Arlington bubble.

I don’t really care for the bubble idea much. Major League Baseball is being cautious when it comes to the postseason, but if players continue to be vigilant like the vast majority have been already, playing in home stadiums wouldn’t have been a problem. They’ve been doing it for this long already with everything going smoothly after some issues early on.

Major League Baseball has liked to come up with ideas and change things on the fly throughout the season, so maybe they scrap the Arlington bubble idea? No, that’s not going to change, but I can’t keep up with Rob Manfred on a day-to-day basis sometimes. The current plan is to have fans at the World Series in Texas, at least in a limited capacity.

The Twins hope to be one of two teams to have support at Globe Life Field in October. If that’s the case, it’s partially going to be because of the play of Kenta Maeda in 2020. The former LA Dodger has been pitching like he’s really motivated to show that he can be a great hurler. The Dodgers gave up on him, but Maeda has been excelling with the Twins.

Getting away from the limelight of Los Angeles might have helped as well. Maeda and rookie Casey Mize are expected to get the starting nods on Wednesday at Target Field. Mize has been bumpy as a rookie, but is expected to develop into an ace in the coming years. We’ve seen glimpses of his potential so far, though only in spots instead of consistently. Head below for our free Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins pick for September 23, 2020.

Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Tigers +1.5 (+115)
  • Twins -1.5 (-135)
Moneyline:

  • Tigers (+241)
  • Twins (-270)
Total:

  • Over 8 (-110)
  • Under 8 (-110)

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Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction:

Casey Mize should turn into a good one for the Detroit Tigers, but he’s still finding his way in the major leagues at the moment. This season has been a great learning opportunity for him, though. Mize can go back to the tape and work hard on getting ready for a full season next year in the offseason. As a rookie in 2005, Verlander posted an ERA of 7.15 through 11.1 innings, so this year isn’t everything for Mize.

He goes into Wednesday with a 6.08 and 1.48 WHIP through 23.2 innings. He’s conceded at least 2 earned runs in every game he’s started in his career. Mize was chased out of the game against the Indians in his most recent outing after giving up 4 hits and 5 earned runs through 3.2 innings.

In his previous three showings, Mize has notched an ERA of 5.54 and 1.31 WHIP. He has faced the Twins twice in his short career already. The Twins have scored 5 earned runs on 7 hits against Mize through 7 innings of work.

Kenta Maeda has been exceptional against the Tigers in his career. The current roster is hitting just .122 against Maeda in 33 at-bats. Maeda has been in the zone since leaving the Dodgers. He owns an ERA of 2.52 and 0.76 WHIP this season. He’s conceded just 2 earned runs across his last 13 innings of work.

Through ten starts, Maeda hasn’t surrendered more than 3 earned runs in a game. Mize is likely going to be a great one in the future, but doesn’t seem to have his command down pat yet. Expect the Twins to make things a little easier on themselves with a more comfortable win on Wednesday night at Target Field.

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MINNESOTA TWINS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.