Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick – September 6, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Casey Mize (0-1, 6.75 ERA) vs. Rich Hill (1-1, 3.94 ERA)

The Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins will head to Target Field for the fourth of five meetings of these two teams. The Twins edged the Tigers out by a score of 2-0 and 3-2 in a double-header on Friday. They did the same the next day on Saturday, as the Twins rode another strong performance by Kenta Maeda. Credit to Tarik Skubal for his effort for the Tigers, but it wasn’t enough.

The highly touted rookie gave up just 2 hits and 1 earned run across 6 innings of work. He fell victim to a tough pitching matchup yesterday. However, as the Tigers develop talent offensively, Skubal should expect to see more support in the future.

They’re still two or three years off from becoming a feared team again. Skubal figures to play a big role in the future for the Tigers. They might have lost yesterday, but the performance of Skuball was a big win for the organization.

The Tigers enter Sunday with a record of 17-20 for a 6.5-game deficit in the AL Central. That’s completely fine for a team in a rebuilding process. You can’t build Rome in one day. There is a lot of young talent that is using this season as a stepping stone into the future. The experience they gain now will help nicely for next season. They are almost to the point, where the Tigers might be able to be buyers at the trade deadline in two or so years.

The Minnesota Twins on the other hand are in win now mode. It’s going to go down to the stretch in the American League Central, with the Twins confident that they can get it done. The Cleveland Indians and Chicago White Sox were both winners on Saturday, so nothing changes in the division.

The White Sox keep their half game advantage on the Twins and Indians going into Sunday. Detroit will send the second half of their talented rookie duo to the bump this afternoon. Casey Mize, who is the top pitching prospect in the organization, will receive the fourth start of his career on Sunday.

It’s been bumpy for him thus far, but Mize is capable of much more on the hill. We’ll see if Mize has his breakout game in Minnesota versus the Twins. Veteran Rich Hill counters at home. Head below for our free Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins pick for September 6, 2020.

Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Tigers +1.5 (-113)
  • Twins -1.5 (-107)
Moneyline:

  • Tigers (+168)
  • Twins (-183)
Total:

  • Over 9.5 (-115)
  • Under 9.5 (-105)

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Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction:

Casey Mize has some work to do to repair his numbers, but he has the tools to get going in the right direction. Mize goes into Target Field with an ERA of 6.75 and 1.69 WHIP. Despite the miserable numbers, Mize has shown why the Tigers are so high on him.

His slider and splitter can do a lot of damage against unsuspecting hitters. Mize has already struckout 13 batters through 10.2 innings. He’s an under-the-radar pitcher if you are looking for a strikeout prop. Mize makes them whiff often at the plate.

Mize must get his command under control before his numbers begin to get better. He’s had issues finding the strike zone at times. That’s what has gotten him into the most issues so far in his young three-game career. Mize has issued eight easy trips to the bases, with four walks and four hit batsmen.

You can’t go about handing out free passes to the basses and expect to get away with it. In his most recent appearance, Mize went 3 innings with 2 hits and 2 earned runs conceded. In any case, I’m confident that we’re going to see Mize put it all together very soon, ala Skubal last night.

40-year-old Rich Hill keeps hanging onto his major league career. He’s been good enough to warrant a spot in the Twins’ rotation, but don’t expect anything special from Hill. The former Dodger goes into Sunday with an ERA of 3.94 and 1.44 WHIP through four games and 16 innings. His velocity is naturally down at his age, but he’s still making it work.

Hill has worked himself into jams the last three games. He made an impressive debut against the St. Louis Cardinals, with just 2 hits and no runs conceded. However, since then, Hill has allowed 7 earned runs in 11 innings of work for a 5.73 ERA and .400 OBA in his last three outings. The Tigers have hit .306 against Hill in 22 at-bats going into today. If Mize can cut back on the command issues on Sunday, look for this one to be a 1-run game either way.

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The Bet
DETROIT TIGERS +1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.