Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick – July 29

The Toronto Blue Jays enter the weekend red-hot at the moment, and have now won nine of their past ten games. The Jays have played much better baseball since firing manager Charlie Montoyo, and new coach John Schneider has this offense clicking.

Last night, Toronto won a nail-biter over a pesky Tigers’ squad by a 5-3 score-line. The Jays’ Matt Chapman led the way with two homers, and has quickly emerged as one of the best hitting 3B in all of baseball. Chapman is putting together an impressive second-half, and the Jays’ offense is surely thankful that he has found his form!

PITCHING PROBABLES: Tigers: Bryan Garcia (0-0); Blue Jays: Alek Manoah (11-4, 2.24 ERA, .97 WHIP, 110 strikeouts)

The Jays enter Friday evening’s contest as sizeable home favorites, and the lofty price is most certainly justified. Toronto has been playing better baseball since coming out of the All-Star break, and young sophomore pitching sensation Alek Manoah is firmly in the Cy Young hunt. The fiery right-hander has emerged as the Jays’ unquestioned ace among an inconsistent pitching staff, and Manoah has definitely kept his teammates afloat during some off-hitting games.

Countering for Detroit will be Bryan Garcia, slated to be making his first MLB appearance of the season. Garcia has bounced around to date in his baseball career, but has been stellar in AAA this season. Though he has only started three games, Garcia has a 2.90 ERA, but an inflated WHIP of 1.44. Given his status as primarily a reliever, you do have to wonder about how deep into Friday’s contest he’ll be able to go. Detroit went deep into their bullpen last night, and another heavy day of action from the Tigers’ relievers, could leave this group depleted for the weekend games.

Though these teams are definitely trending in opposite directions, all four contests between these clubs in 2022 have been hard-fought and close battles. While Manoah vs. Garcia does seem lopsided, can the Tigers embrace the role of spoiler as we approach the trade deadline? Or can Toronto relish in the pressure and continue their ascent through the AL Wild-Card standings? For added insight, the latest news, trends, and analysis, continue reading on beneath the posted odds for our breakdown and betting prediction for the second game of this entertaining Toronto vs. Detroit series. Enjoy the game, folks!

Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Live Odds & Betting History

Betting odds provided by BOVADA

  • Detroit Tigers +1.5 (+155)
  • Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-175)
  • Detroit Tigers (+320)
  • Toronto Blue Jays (-380)
  • Over 9 (-110)
  • Under 9 (-110)
Overall Record 40-60 55-44
Over/Under/Push 38-56-6 53-44-2
Home/Away Record 16-32 32-20
Runs Per Game 3.2 4.9
Runs Allowed Per Game 4.4 4.3
Team Batting Average .229 .269
Bullpen ERA 3.09 3.95

Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction:

With the Jays entering Friday night with little room for error, expect their offense to continue raking against a banged-up and depleted Tigers’ bullpen. While Detroit is usually stellar in relief, they remain without Andrew Chafin and Bryan Garcia starting Friday evening won’t be the answer. Manager John Schneider has re-worked this potent Toronto lineup, and it’s been paying immediate dividends. Toronto is raking right now, and they enter this series a top-5 offense in virtually every meaningful statistical category.

It’ll be up to the aforementioned Garcia to try and stop Detroit’s road woes, and keep Toronto in check – at least for one turn through the order. The 27-year old journeyman minor-leaguer has struggled with control in AAA this season, and will be making his MLB season debut against one of the league’s offenses. Toronto is doing it all right now, combining a keen eye at the dish, with speed on the bases, and power to every part of the stadium. They’ve been mashing at home, and should be able to get out to a big, early lead on Friday night, and ride that momentum to another convincing victory.

It also doesn’t help that this Detroit offense is extremely basic at the moment, not offering any sort of pop or excitement. They’ve been in a huge funk in July, and sit bottom-five in many offensive categories to date. This group struggled to generate anything off of Yusei Kikuchi last night, and Alek Manoah represents one of the toughest challenges in baseball. Detroit hasn’t been an effective road team, and look for their issues to magnify against a red-hot Jays’ squad.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays Trends To Know:

  • Tigers are 17-35 in their last 52 road games.
  • Tigers are 4-9 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 1-11 in their last 12 vs. American League East.
  • Tigers are 1-11 in their last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
  • Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
  • Tigers are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings vs. Toronto.

With the Tigers’ pitchers in a real state of disarray right now, look for the red-hot Toronto offense to show no mercy as they look to further pad their impressive stats. Though their bats took some time to round into form here in 2022, they’ve responded in July, and have seen a real surge in offense since the All-Star break.  Alek Manoah can be trusted once again for dominance, especially at home – and expect Toronto to chase the unproven Bryan Garcia early in this contest.  Backing the Jays -1.5 on the run-line seems to be the obvious play for Friday night in baseball.

Our Pick
Jays -1.5
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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