Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves MLB Pick – July 29

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball throughout Friday night. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout July 29. One of these games will be between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Atlanta Braves. These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings, but will look for the win. This game will throw the first pitch at around 7:20 PM Eastern time.

Arizona has posted a record of 45-53 throughout the season, which has them in fourth place of the NL West. The Diamondbacks have won three games in a row and are 6-4 in their last 10 games. Arizona is six and a half games back on a wild card spot entering this one. The Diamondbacks will look to remain hot on Friday.

The Braves have earned a record of 59-41 so far this season, which has them in second place of the NL East. Atlanta is coming off a loss, but have gone 6-4 throughout their last 10. The Braves have a six and a half game lead on a wild card spot and are three games back on the NL East lead. Atlanta will look to bounce back with a big win at home.

These two teams are fighting for positioning and will look for a big win on Friday night. The Diamondbacks are on a nice winning streak and will look to remain hot in this one. Atlanta will look to bounce back after a tough loss against the Phillies. If either team can step up early in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Arizona Diamondbacks +1 ½ (-115) +180 Over 9 (+100)
Atlanta Braves -1 ½ (-105) -220 Under 9 (-120)
Team Data Arizona Diamondbacks Atlanta Braves
Overall Record 45-53 59-41
Away/ Home Record 18-26 33-21
Batting Average .227 .248
Batting Average Away/ Home .225 .253
ERA 4.19 3.66
ERA Away/ Home 4.83 3.65

Betting Trends

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • 11-11 in July
  • 8-8 when playing on Friday
  • 6-7 when playing with day off
  • 27-31 in night games
  • 29-40 against right handers
  • 20-24 after a win
  • 1-4 after three or more straight wins
  • 21-28 against team with a winning record

Atlanta Braves

  • 15-8 in July games
  • 12-4 when playing on a Friday
  • 5-4 when playing with a day off
  • 44-23 in night games
  • 24-11 against left handed starters
  • 29-10 after a loss
  • 37-20 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up three times throughout this season. Pavin Smith had a three RBI homer in the first meeting as the Diamondbacks won 6-2. Christian Walker had three RBI’s in the second matchup as Arizona won 8-7 with a walkoff in the tenth. Austin Riley had a three run home run in the third game as the Braves earned a 6-0. 

Offense

The Diamondbacks have struggled hitting the ball a bit throughout the season. Arizona has a .220 batting average, which is 28th in the MLB. The Diamondbacks have earned an OBP of .306, which is 23rd in the league. Arizona has posted a .695 OPS, which is 19th in the MLB. The Diamondbacks have a BA of .221 against righties this season.

Atlanta has been strong at the plate so far on the season. The Braves have a batting average of .248, which is 10th in the league. Atlanta has put up a .312 on base percentage, which is 17th in the MLB. The Braves have earned an OPS of .753, which is 4th in the league. Atlanta has hit .259 against left handers.

The Braves have the edge hitting the ball throughout this season and will look to get going early in this one. Atlanta is coming off a rough series with the bats in their hands, but will look to bounce back. Arizona will look to remain hot to keep this winning streak going. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Madison Bumgarner will likely get the start on the mound for Arizona in this one. Bumgarner has started in 20 games this season, going 6-9 in those matchups. He has put up an ERA of 3.71 and a 1.33 WHIP in those games. Bumgarner pitched eight innings in his last start against the Washington Nationals. He gave up four hits and two runs in the win.

I expect Kyle Wright to get the nod at pitcher for the Braves on Friday night. Wright has earned a record of 12-4 throughout his 19 games this season. He has posted a 2.95 ERA and a WHIP of 1.16 in those outings. Wright’s last start was against the Los Angeles Angels. He gave up seven hits and two runs through six innings in the win.

Wright has won his last five decisions, while Bumgarner has won three of their last four matchups. Both pitchers will look to get going early in this one. Atlanta has the better bullpen in this one. The Braves have a 3.20 ERA, which is 5th in the MLB. The Diamondbacks bullpen has combined for an ERA of 4.23, which is 24th in the league.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look to get going early in this one. The Diamondbacks have struggled a bit on the season, but will look to remain hot. Atlanta has been the better team on offense and has the better pitcher on the mound. If either team can get going early, it could be enough for the win.

Bovada has Atlanta listed as a -220 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Braves will win this game around 68.8 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate, but has little value. Atlanta is also listed at -1 ½ for -105 in those games. I think the Braves will come out fast in this one and will cover the spread.

The Bet
Atlanta Braves -1.5
-105
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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