It was an interesting night in Major League Baseball with some nasty weather wreaking havoc on the schedule and adding some lengthy delays to the evening. The wait was definitely worth it in Cleveland, where the Indians bullpen lost their first lead of the season (previously 18-0 when leading after seven innings) on one of the most jaw-dropping displays of speed you will see all season. The Reds were down to their final out when Zack Cozart delivered a single to left with runners on first and third. Unfortauntly for the Tribe, the runner on first was Billy Hamilton. He scored. From first. One a single to left with no errors. I can’t say I’ve ever seen that before…
Elsewhere, the Nats, Rockies and Cardinals all won, with St. Louis pitcher Mike Leake winning again, dominating the Dodgers to push his ERA to 1.91 on the season. Currently the Cardinals have three of the top fourteen pitchers in baseball in batting average on balls in play, a stat the Cubs dominated in 2016. With St. Louis’s capable lineup, this is a situation worth keeping an eye on in the NL Central race…
We picked up a second straight winner on Tuesday before taking a day off yesterday. Let’s see if we can pick up where we left off and fly the W flag tonight…
Today’s MLB Pick:
Arizona D’Backs -106 at Milwaukee Brewers +104 (Total: 9)
Robbie Ray (3-3, 3.91 ERA) vs. Zach Davies (5-2, 5.44 ERA)
Zach Davies has an impressive 5-2 record, but his 5.44 ERA is another “Exhibit A” for why CY Young voters have soured on wins and losses as a relevant statistic. The trend has been better for the young hurler; he started the season with an 8.67 ERA and his team losing all three games, and since then he is 5-0 with a 3.94 ERA. But even that has been greatly aided by an awesome offense. He has walked eleven batters in that stretch and allowed a whopping .294 opponent batting average.
Opposing Davies is Robbie Ray, who was excellent in his last outing, allowing just one run in 7 2/3 innings. But, to be fair, that start was against the anemic Padres, one of the softer lineups in all of baseball. He will have a much tougher task pitching in Miller Park tonight. The Diamondbacks will also be without A.J. Pollock for ten days, one of the key cogs in their lineup. Their troubles really began last year when he and Greinke got injured, so it will be interesting to see how they fare the next few weeks. Their lineup is deep, but Pollock is a key cog in the machine.
I think the Brewers will bounce back tonight. Ray’s ERA is near five in non-Padres games and the Brewers seem to be up for supporting Zach Davies when needed. I like the OVER tonight as well, but will stake my official pick on the Brewers at home.
Today’s MLB Pick: MILWAUKEE BREWERS TO WIN +104