Diamondbacks vs Cardinals – MLB Pick for April 5th

We took a big swing and a miss last night when we backed King Felix on the road against the San Francisco Giants in an interleague matchup. Felix had a terrible first inning that saw a run score on a walk, a wild pitch, and a sacrifice fly.

It didn’t get any better from there for Felix, as all told he gave up eight runs in just four innings of work. Cueto, who had a hard-luck no-decision in his first start of the year that saw him go seven shutout innings, finally received some run support and picked up the easy win. Cueto put in six innings of work and allowed just the one run, and the Giants won easily 10-1.

I mentioned that I liked getting King Felix with some dog money as he showed glimpses of brilliance in his first start, but after this start, I may have to reevaluate that position. Today I will evaluate the matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the St. Louis Cardinals.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are in St. Louis tonight for game one of a three-game series with the Cardinals. Arizona comes into this series red-hot as they have won both of their series so far this season and are fresh off of sweeping the Los Angeles Dodgers.

At 5-1 the Diamondbacks hold the best record in the National League. The Cardinals are coming in playing good baseball as well as they have won three of their last four after a slow start. Your starting pitching matchup features the Diamondback’s Robbie Ray (1-0 10.80 ERA) squaring off against the Cardinals Adam Wainwright (0-0 0.00 ERA).

The Cardinals are -117 home favorites. The game total over-under is set at seven and a half runs. First pitch is scheduled for 4:15 PM PST from Busch Stadium.

The Arizona Diamondbacks made a big statement this week by sweeping the Los Angeles Dodgers. I know it is really early in the season, but anytime you can sweep the reigning pennant winner in your league, who just also happens to be in your division, it’s a big deal. The Diamondbacks were betting underdogs in each of those three games. They will be betting underdogs here again tonight against the Cardinals.

The Diamondbacks will look to stay hot tonight when they send Robbie Ray to the mound. Ray is a solid starting pitcher. He won fifteen games last year with an ERA of just 2.89. He was an All-Star and finished seventh in the Cy Young Award voting.

But he sure didn’t look anything like an All-Star in his first start of the year. Ray got pummeled for seven runs in just five innings of work against the Rockies but managed to sneak away with the win as his lineup provided all kinds of run support.

It was a bit of a weird scenario as the D-Backs scored five runs in the first inning and when you have such a big lead, you tend to let your guard down and pitch a little differently. Obviously, Ray didn’t have his best stuff, but who’s to say if Arizona hadn’t scored all those runs early that he wouldn’t have pitched differently.

In the end, the D-Backs won the game and Ray did enough not to blow it. It will be interesting to see if Ray looks more like the guy that won fifteen games last year or more like the guy that got rocked last week.

There was a time when Adam Wainwright was amongst the best pitchers in the National League. Between 2009-2014 Wainwright won nineteen games or more four times and was a regular in the top of the Cy Young voting, finishing in the top three of the vote four times.

Then injury struck, and Wainwright missed most of the 2015 season. Wainwright came back from injury and has just never been the same guy. His ERA ballooned all the way to 4.62 in 2016 and even higher at 5.11 in 2017.

He isn’t striking people out at a high rate anymore and he has been battling problems with walks and allowing too many runners on base. His WHIP the last two seasons has been north of 1.40. He is constantly having to work out of jams, and his ERA shows it.

Wainwright has managed to hold a winning record even with his struggles, but if he wants to hold back this strong D-Backs offense, he will need to be better tonight.

Robbie Ray is a much better pitcher than he showed in his first start. And Adam Wainwright is surviving on his name and reputation alone at his point. He hasn’t been a good pitcher for several years now.

That makes me wonder why Wainwright is the favorite in this one. The D-Backs are the better team, that are playing better at the moment, and they have the better starter on the mound. To me, that screams value. It isn’t a big underdog spot, but I will love getting a good price in a great situation tonight in St. Louis.

Give me the Arizona Diamondbacks as road underdogs at -103 tonight in game one!

The Bet: Arizona Diamondbacks -103

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