I am writing this column a little earlier than usual, as I am traveling tomorrow afternoon to get to Game Six of the Eastern Conference Finals in Indianapolis. So… I hate to put any jinxes on anything, but it looks like a potentially good day for the baseball picks at thesportsgeek.com, with the Reds v Pirates finishing UNDER the 7 run total, and both the Dodgers and Rangers holding multiple run leads very late… hopefully that holds true and it was a nice profitable day for everyone and a perfect 4-0 pick night for the blog…
Just a reminder, as this column is written a earlier than normal, double check the lines and shop around a little bit for the best odds, as things may have changed slightly since writing…
Good luck, and enjoy a great sports Saturday.
Arizona Diamondbacks +124 at Chicago Cubs -133 (Total: 9.5)
Ian Kennedy (2-3, 4.70 ERA) vs. Jeff Samardzija (3-6, 2.85 ERA)
I know I’ve written this a few times before, but Jeff Samardzija has to be one of the toughest-luck pitchers in the majors (and not just because he was drafted by the Cubs! Rimshot!). His 2.85 ERA is top-ten in the league, yet he has a miserable 3-6 record to show for it. The Cubs are just 4-7 in games he has started, wasting one of the better young pitchers in baseball, which is big part of why they are once again floundering near the bottom of the standings.
However, the Cubs have been playing pretty good baseball lately. They have reeled off four wins in a row, outscoring their opponents 29-10 in the process. Of course, there was a six game losing streak immediately before that in which they were outscored 26-15, so it is hard to tell if this recent stretch is a sign of better things to come or simply the inevitable wave of a long baseball season.
For Arizona, they will have their hands full with Samardzija, but scoring runs hasn’t been their problem lately – giving them up has. They are 5-4 over their last nine games, and have only been held below four runs in a single game. Unfortunately, they have also allowed 43 runs in that span, nearly five per contest.
I think the Cubs will be able to finally give Samardzija the backing he has deserved, but I don’t think it’ll be high scoring affair. The weather should be pretty miserable in Chicago tomorrow, below 60 degrees with scattered thunderstorms, so that should help keep the ball inside Wrigley and make the Friendly Confines a bit more so for the pitchers.
I like the Cubs to win behind their ace, but really like the game staying under the large 9.5 run total.
Free Picks: Chicago Cubs to WIN -133 & Run TOTAL UNDER 9.5