Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers MLB Pick – August 9th

The Los Angeles Dodgers are back in action tonight, as they welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks for a three-game series. Following Sunday, the Dodgers are on the road for six games as they head to Miami and Atlanta. The only thing holding them back against the Marlins is getting too comfortable in Florida and using it as a trip to have fun. Outside of that, the Dodgers should enjoy a successful series in Miami.

They could get swept and still be in fine form, though. The Dodgers go into Friday with a record of 77-40. That is tops in the major leagues. Getting too sleepy could spell the end of homefield advantage throughout the postseason, though. The Yankees and Astros are knocking on the door for the No. 1 seed in baseball.

It’s important because the Dodgers have been a force at home. Having homefield over the Astros or Yankees in the World Series could loom large. First order of business is getting through the regular season and avoiding a choke job before getting to the World Series. It’s win the World Series or bust for the Dodgers. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are still alive in the wildcard race despite trading Greinke.

A Greinke deal was expected, so that wasn’t a surprise. Robbie Ray’s name was floated around as well, but ultimately the D-backs decided to hang on to him. Arizona are coming off a successful series against the Phillies, having won two out of three games.

They also beat the Nationals in two out of three games and head into Friday 4-1 in their previous five games. The Diamondbacks are suddenly only 1.5 games back of going to the postseason. Ray gets the nod tonight, while the Dodgers are scheduled to start Walker Buehler. Head below for our free Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. L.A. Dodgers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -200/Diamondbacks +175
  • O/U: 7.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Robbie Ray (10-7, 4.03 ERA)
  • Walker Buehler (10-2, 3.22 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Keeping Robbie Ray gives the Diamondbacks a shot at the postseason. If they were to trade him away as well, their odds of success go down significantly. That would have been their No. 1 and 2 out the door. Nevertheless, the Diamondbacks have a tough road in August and September. While they’re within striking distance at 1.5 games back, that feels like a lot when it comes to the National League.

The Phillies, Mets, and Cardinals are all tied and only a half game back of the Brewers for the final wildcard. That doesn’t leave much room for error for the Diamondbacks and they have a tough series this weekend against the Dodgers. The Dodgers stole one over the Cardinals on Wednesday before getting the day off Thursday. Down to their last out, they benefitted from a wild pitch and then cashed in on a Russell Wilson single for a 2-1 win. Good teams know how to steal wins.

Walker Buehler has been firing away on the bump and getting great results. The 25-year-old enters Friday with an ERA of 3.22 and 1.00 WHIP on the season. His arm has been on fire at home, with a 2.54 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. Buehler has been perfect at Dodger Stadium with a record of 5-0 in 2019. He’s allowed more than 3 runs in a start only once. To make it more difficult for the Diamondbacks tonight, they’re hitting just .203 in 79 at-bats against him.

Buehler has been pitching very well recently, with a 2.11 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in his previous three contests. Conversely, Ray has been shaky, posting a 4.76 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. He hasn’t been outstanding on the road, either, as Ray holds a 4.12 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in that capacity.

The Dodgers have gone 46-15 at home and this looks like another winning night for them in Los Angeles. Ray might be able to hold the Dodgers down for a bit, but expect the Dodgers to breakthrough and notch a 5-2 or 6-3 win in this one. At plus money, the runline is worth a look on Friday night.

The Bet
DODGERS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.