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Diamondbacks vs Dodgers MLB Pick – May 6th

It is a relatively limited slate of major league baseball action today with only nine of the fifteen series kicking off tonight, but there are some good matchups taking place in the early part of the week.  The Atlanta Braves, who have cooled off considerably this week, will travel to Cincinnati to visit the Reds who are 12-4 at home, though many of their wins have come against sub-.500 opponents.  It will be interesting to see if either team can exert their will in the series.

There is also an interesting series starting tonight in the NL West between the Diamondbacks and Dodgers.  LA has already been riddled with injuries and has fallen to fourth place in a suddenly very competitive division.  The formula there is much like the NL Central, one bottom feeder (San Diego and the Cubs) buoying potentially as many as four teams to winning records.  The only problem in the West right now is the Dodgers not holding up their end of the bargain.  Will they be able to put together a good series and get back into the division mix starting tonight with a really shaky starter on the mound??

Let’s take a look at a few quick matchup and try to build on yesterday’s much needed 4-0 ATS baseball afternoon…

Arizona D’Backs -107 at Los Angeles Dodgers -105 (Total: 7)

Trevor Cahill vs Chris Capuano (0-1, 9.82 ERA)

Chris Capuano’s numbers are a bit deceiving as he has only pitched 4.2 inning this season.  He is newly in the rotation because of injuries, but has been a productive starter for quite some time, and should bounce back from last outing’s disaster.

Meanwhile, Trevor Cahill has been excellent for the D’Backs, posing a WHIP of just 1.11 and an ERA of 2.62.  He deserves better than his losing record indicates.  He hasn’t gotten much run support, but that could very well change against Capuano tonight.

Arizona is scuffling a bit, losing nine of their last 15 games and five of their last six.  The Dodgers are licking their wounds after a painful sweep at the hands of hated rival San Francisco, two of them coming on ninth inning walk-off homeruns, and all three coming by just a single run.  Ouch.

I think this is a pretty even matchup (as the line indicates) but I think the run total is vulnerable.  Seven feels pretty low for a starter that has struggled in his only appearance since returning from injury.

Free Pick:  Run TOTAL OVER 7