Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers MLB Pick – September 5th

The Dodgers and Cubs lost by a combined score of 25-0 yesterday to cap off a wild week of action in the National League. The Diamondbacks can’t lose, the Dodgers can’t win, and nothing seems certain any longer as we enter the final month of the baseball season.

You know things aren’t going your way when you are on the Cubs and Arrieta, who was 6-1 with a 1.59 ERA since the All Star Break, and he pulls a hammy in the third inning en route to a blowout loss. Alas, we will try to start a clean week with a cleaner result and try to make September a momentum-building month heading into the postseason.

The Pirates and Cubs will be back at it tonight, as will Los Angeles in Arizona trying to snap a concerning losing skid. Will either rebound tonight??

Today’s MLB Pick:

Arizona Diamondbacks +111 vs. Los Angeles Dodgers -121 (Total: 8)
Zack Greinke (16-6, 3.08 ERA) vs. Hyun Jin-Ryu (5-7, 3.71 ERA)

The Dodgers are a whopping 52-17 at home, but sometimes it is wise to just ride the tide of staggering momentum. The Diamondbacks have won 11 games in a row and can tie a franchise record (set in 2003) with a twelfth straight victory tonight. It won’t be easy to win in Los Angeles, but the confident ‘Backs will have to feel good with ace Zack Greinke returning to his old stomping grounds.

Greinke hasn’t been GREAT against his former mates in his career, posting a 4-4 record and just a 4.03 ERA. But Ryu, tonight’s opposition, has similar numbers against Arizona with 3-3 and 4.02 ERA. That would seem to be a virtual push, but the recent returns for the two pitchers are vastly different. Greinke is a fringe CY Young candidate with three quality starts in his last four outings and has struck out ten batters with just two walks in his last twelve innings. Ryu scuffled in his last outing, giving up three home runs in just four innings against the same Diamondbacks.

Arizona is on an absolute roll and has been a monster offensively to go with their strong pitching. Yesterday was a bit of an outlier, a 13-0 win in which J.D. Martinez became just the 18th player in MLB history to hit four homeruns in a single game. Obviously, we won’t see THAT again tonight, but they haven’t been held under five runs in a game in their last eight, so it seems reasonable they will get Greinke ample support tonight. Meanwhile, Los Angeles has been held to two or less runs six times in their last ten games in their painful regression to the mean after one of the best 60 games stretches in the history of baseball. They aren’t as bad as they’ve looked the last two weeks, but apparently aren’t anything close to the “best team in baseball history” flirtation they were making in August.

Things will balance out soon, but for tonight, it is hard to go against the hottest team in baseball with their ace on the mound at plus-money value.


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