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Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Pick – April 14th

We notched a fifth straight MLB winner last night and will be looking for a half-dozen tonight with a daring upset play..

The beat rolled on last night as we notched a fifth straight MLB winner and a third straight plus-money winner.  This time is was a big fat +155 as the Colorado Rockies knocked off Madison Bumgarner and the Giants 3-1 despite Colorado starter Jon Gray leaving early with a toe injury.  The Rockies bullpen picked up the slack and the offense got all three runs off Bumgarner in the upset victory.  Bumgarner losing gets the headlines, but the Giants OFFENSE is the true culprit.  Once again they are not hitting, but it is also noting that the absence of Buster Posey is a BIG loss.

The weekend starts tonight so everyone is back in action, giving us a nice slate of National League action to choose from.  The highlights on the schedule Gerrit Cole and Kyle Hendricks kicking off the Cubs and Pirates series in Wrigley, Aaron Nola and Stephen Strasburg getting down to business in Washington, Thor taking the mound in Miami against Volquez and the stop-what-you-are-doing nightcap between Zack Greinke and Clayton Kersaw.

It’s an awesome NL slate loaded with #1 starters and aces, so enjoy a great night of baseball.  Let’s see if we can make it even better with a sixth straight winner.

Today’s MLB Pick:

Arizona Diamondbacks +235 at Los Angeles Dodgers -240 (Total: 6)
Zack Greinke (1-0, 2.31 ERA) vs. Clayton Kershaw (1-1, 3.46 ERA)

This is STRICTLY a value play tonight.  I do not think fading Clayton Kershaw is a generally good idea, but getting Zack Greinke, who has looked GREAT in his first two starts at more than 2 to 1 odds, is pretty insane no matter who the opponent.  Add in the damage that his D’Back mates have been doing at the plate, and the value is clearly on the Arizona side tonight.

Kershaw is the best regular season pitcher of the last 15 years, but like MadBum last night, he is not invincible.  The Dodgers have already lost a game with him on the mound this year and while Kershaw has been very good, allowing five runs in 13 innings isn’t invincible.  Of course, his WHIP is 0.77 and he has 14 K’s and no walks, so there is the dominance lurking very low beneath the shadows.

Greinke has been fabulous as well, and lets not forget that if we threw out last year’s injury-riddled down year, we would put these two pitchers in the same paragraph, if not the same sentence. He has allowed just two runs so far this season and has fanned 10 batters against just two walks.  More importantly, his guys are getting runs.  The Diamondbacks are leading the league in runs scored at 5.5 per contest.

Kershaw is amazing, but if Greinke can match zeros, they have a real chance.  And at +225, that’s more than we can ask for…

Today’s Pick:  ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS TO WIN +235

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