Normally, a guy hitting three straight homeruns (and anytime the sentence “first time since Johnny Bench” is attached to an accomplishment, it’s a good indication something special happened) would be the biggest story of the night in baseball. But not when a 27-year old journeyman rookie throws a no-hitter. Chris Heston flexed his right to bear arms last night, blanking the Mets and authoring the unlikeliest first no-hitter of the 2015 season. Oddly enough, his highest pitch registered at just 91 mph despite striking out eleven batters. It’s also a bad sign for the Mets who just don’t seem to have the bats to hang around the Nats deep into the summer.
I took the day off yesterday, and drummed up only an NBA disappointment as the Cavaliers continue to play harder than any team I have ever seen play in my life (no exaggeration). In the meantime, let’s see if we can pick up a win on the diamond to balance it out.
Today’s MLB Pick:
Arizona Diamondbacks +180 vs. Los Angeles Dodgers -190 (Total: 7.5)
Jeremy Helickson vs. Brett Anderson
I’ll admit, the huge line first seduced me into exploring this line, and the more I poured through the numbers, I like the risk/reward numbers on this game a lot. Are the Dodgers a better team than Arizona? Sure. But are the D-Backs a typically incompetent last-place team? Not by a long shot. They are only four games under .500, have a MVP-caliber first baseman mashing the ball (Goldschmidt has 7 HR and 17 RBI in his last 13 games against LA) and they have a quality starting pitcher on the mound tonight.
Jeremy Hellickson has an ERA near five, but his last three outings have all been wins and his ERA is 3.38 in the process. Even more impressive his WHIP is down to 1.07 and he has only walked five batters against 13 strikeouts in 18.2 innings pitched. He’s been closer to the guy who won rookie of the year in Tampa than he has a sub-5.00 ERA guy.
The Dodgers will counter with tough-luck Brett Anderson who is 0-2 in his last three outings despite a 2.61 ERA over 20 solid innings. He will hope to get a little better run support tonight, and certainly has an offese behind him who is capable of good results, but I still like Helickson and his recent run a little more.
This game is too close a pitching matchup to not roll the dice with a near two-to-one value tonight. I may lose, but I’ll take the 2:1 gamble on a big payday.
Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks to WIN +180