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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick – April 9th

We picked up a big money line underdog win last night when we took the New York Mets against the Washington Nationals on the Sunday Night Baseball Game of the Week. The Mets got big dog money in all three games against the Nationals, and they were able to sweep Washington in the three-game set. If you aren’t a believer of this Mets team, you need to take a closer look.

They have a solid lineup and a great starting rotation and are absolutely contenders to win their division this year. Matt Harvey wasn’t as sharp as I had hoped he would be last night, but he did leave the ball game with the lead and had a chance to pick up the win. The bullpen couldn’t hold it for him, and this game ended up in extra innings.

These teams battled late into the night, and both teams had great scoring opportunities that were wasted in the extra frames. The Mets took the lead for good in the top of the twelfth on an RBI single from Yoenis Cespedes and won the game 6-5. The Mets have the best record in the National League right now yet have been underdogs in almost every game.

It will be interesting to see how much longer that trend holds up. Until the public and the books can wash away the memory of last year’s dreadful Mets team and rate this team properly, you are going to find me looking for ways to back them. Today I will stay in the National League and break down the matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Francisco Giants.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are in San Francisco Monday for game one of a three-game series with the Giants. Arizona comes into this series red-hot as they are tied for the most wins in the National League and have won all three of their series on the year.

The Giants aren’t enjoying nearly as much success as Arizona so far and lost in extra innings last night to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Diamondbacks will turn to Zack Godley (1-0 1.29 ERA) on the mound, and the Giants will counter with Derek Holland (0-1 5.40 ERA). The D-Backs are -120 road favorites. The game total over-under is set at seven and a half runs. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 PM PST from AT&T Park.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have used solid hitting and strong pitching to jump out to a very strong 7-2 start to the season. There best hitter, perennial MVP candidate Paul Goldschmidt, is hitting just .100 with eleven strikeouts and the D-Backs are still seventh in the majors in runs scored and fifth in on-base percentage. Once Goldy starts hitting, this team is going to be really hard to beat.

Arizona will start Zack Godley tonight. If you don’t know who this kid is yet it is time to learn his name. Godley had his first full season as a starter for the D-Backs last season and was fantastic. Godley won just eight games but had a stellar ERA of just 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.10 while striking out nearly ten men per nine innings. I expected big things from Godley coming into the season, and he did not disappoint in his first start of the season against the reigning National League Champion Dodgers.

Godley completely shut down the Dodgers in his seven innings of work. The young right-hander allowed just one run on four hits against L.A. enroot to the win. If Godley can make the big leap the management in Arizona expects out of him this season, this D-Backs team needs to be considered a World Series contender.

If you have been a reader of my daily picks over the course of the last year or so you know exactly how I feel about Derek Holland. The guy is garbage. I guess he was kinda sorta somewhat decent in his early years in Texas but over the last several seasons Holland has been amongst the worst starters in the majors. Holland finished last season with a 7-14 record and an ERA of 6.20.

This season hasn’t gotten off to a great start for Holland either as he gave up five runs in just five innings against the Dodgers in a loss. A couple of those runs weren’t earned, so his ERA stands at 5.40 on the year, I guess that is an improvement over last year, right? This guy stinks, and I expect him to get hammered tonight.

I was very surprised to see this number so low. Very similar to the Mets, this Arizona team has been consistently undervalued so far this year. They were underdogs in each of the games against the Dodgers last week, a series that they swept, and are now just small favorites tonight against a very bad starter in Derek Holland. I am not sure why the number is so low, but I will surely take advantage of it tonight.

I am already getting a great price so no need to explore the run line. I will just take the money line and know I am on the right side. Give me the Arizona Diamondbacks -120 on the road tonight in game one!

The Bet: Arizona Diamondbacks -120

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