Diamondbacks vs. Marlins MLB Pick – July 27th

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Miami Marlins meet for the second game of their four-game series on Saturday. Thanks to an abysmal National League, the Diamondbacks are flirting around .500, but are still in the wildcard race. All the while, the Diamondbacks appear to be sellers and are actively looking to shop Zack Greinke.

Along with Greinke, Robbie Ray could be a trade candidate as well, which would leave the Diamondbacks without two top hurlers in their rotation. Jarrod Dyson could be on the way out as well, with the Cubs reportedly interested in his services. The Giants may ultimately keep Madison Bumgarner, so Greinke would assume a higher position in the market if that’s the case.

The front office clearly doesn’t have much confidence in their team playing well enough down the stretch to find a way in the postseason. They wouldn’t be looking to dismantle their rotation if that’s the case. The D-backs aren’t consistently winning games without Greinke and Ray.

Despite being on the outside looking in, the Diamondbacks have one of the best run ratios in the NL among teams who aren’t in the postseason, as it stands now. They have a +64, which is actually better than the Nationals, Cubs, and Braves.

In other words, the Diamondbacks haven’t been consistent enough this season. They might blow the doors off a team one night, but then lose a bunch of close games, and at the end of the day, it doesn’t matter what the win differential is. With Greinke and Ray possibly on the way out, Alex Young’s role would become bigger.

The rookie has been effective, but has made just four starts and five appearances in total. Young will get the start on Saturday against another rookie, Jordan Yamamoto, whose been impressive in his own right. Head below for our free Diamondbacks vs. Marlins pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks -115/Marlins -105
  • O/U: 8

Pitching Matchup:

  • Alex Young (3-0, 2.38 ERA)
  • Jordan Yamamoto (4-1, 2.61 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

There haven’t been many bright points for the Marlins this season. Since Jose Fernandez died in that boating accident, the life has been sucked out of the Marlins. They’ve said goodbye to Giancarlo Stanton, Christian Yelich, and Marcell Ozuna as well. If Fernandez didn’t pass away, it’s within reason that the Marlins wouldn’t have signed him, too.

He was set to make huge money. The Marlins hope to develop within now after bringing in plenty of prospects. Yamamoto was acquired in the Yelich deal, having been drafted by the Brewers in 2014. The Hawaiian has been productive in four career starts thus far. He enters with a solid record of 4-1 and 2.61 ERA on the season.

Yamamoto also carries a 1.00 WHIP and .260 OBA into Saturday. The worst start of his career came against the Dodgers in his most recent showing, allowing 5 earned runs in 4 innings. However, that was at Dodger Stadium against one of the best offenses in the majors. He’ll get the Diamondbacks at home on Saturday.

Yamamoto has been sharp at home, with a 2.25 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He has yet to allow a home run in 16 innings of work at Marlins Park. The Diamondbacks are hitting .246 against righties, whereas they’ve connected for a .284 against lefties.

Alex Young is coming off his worst start as well. He was tagged for 4 earned runs against the Brewers, though has been effectively in all of his other four appearances. Young has posted an ERA of 2.93, 0.72 WHIP, and .196 OBA in his last three outings.

Running up to that Brewers game, Young had allowed just 1-run in his previous 13.2 innings of play. His numbers on the road have been impressive, with a 1.42 ERA and 0.63 WHIP in 10 innings. Young gets the worst offense in baseball at 3.57 runs scored per game on the road Saturday. Expect a 4-3 or 4-2 ball game to keep this final score UNDER the total in Miami.

The Bet
UNDER 8
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.