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Diamondbacks vs. Reds MLB Pick – August 11th

The Arizona Diamondbacks fell asleep in Cincinnati last night. Their starting pitcher, Clay Buchholz, is the only guy who decided to show up and want to play baseball. The offense was silent against Anthony DeSclafani. This isn’t the time for the Diamondbacks to go to sleep with the Dodgers right there with them in the NL West. They missed an opportunity to create a bit of separation.

The Dodgers lost a close one to the Rockies, 5-4, on Friday night so everything remains the same in the standings. The D-Backs and Dodgers are deadlocked with a record of 64-53. The offense failed to get a run across the plate for the Diamondbacks Friday night. It was a wasted effort by Buchholz who has been fantastic in Arizona this season. No one came to help out, though.

Wit the loss, the Diamondbacks dropped to 4-3 in their last seven games. If the Diamondbacks and Dodgers play this closely all the way until the end of September, I’m all for it. I like those close pennant races with the last day or two deciding who goes to the postseason or on vacation. The Dodgers didn’t just bring Manny Machado in to reach the postseason, they brought him here to go win a World Series. Likewise, the Diamondbacks didn’t sign Zack Greinke to a mammoth contract to not be playing October baseball, either.

It’d be quite the blow to the gut if they miss out completely. The division isn’t the only way in, both are staying competitive to win a wildcard as well. However, the margin for error is pretty small in both routes. One could whiff completely and not get in, period. The Rockies are hanging around, but are 2.5 games back at the moment. The Diamondbacks will turn to Robbie Ray and hope he gets some more help from his offense tonight. Ex-Met Matt Harvey will start opposite Ray on Saturday. Get our free Diamondbacks vs. Reds pick below.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick

Robbie Ray (3-2, 4.92 ERA) vs. Matt Harvey (5-7, 5.37 ERA)

All of the talk surrounding Matt Harvey was that he was going to get traded at the deadline. He was at the apex of 2018 and hadn’t been pitching that well since 2015 with the Mets. However, I think teams exercised extreme caution going forward with him. Teams weren’t going to be willing to part with that much to bring in Harvey. Before joining the Reds this season, Harvey was pitiful with an ERA of 7.00.

The team gave him an ultimatum: go down to the minors or get cut. Harvey didn’t want to go to Triple-A ball, so he found himself in Cincinnati with the Reds. He immediately looked better on the hump, but we’re starting to see him look like the Harvey we seen with the Mets in 2018. He enters with an ERA of 10.66 with a .377 OBA in his last three starts. He’s allowed a whopping 6 long balls in 12.2 innings pitched. That is what teams were worried about Harvey. I don’t think he does much sticking around on the Reds. They would have been much better off looking for prospects to deal him for. Harvey has proven thus far that he can be a decent member of a rotation, but don’t expect him to see those lockdown numbers again.

Lefty Robbie Ray will step on the bump for the D-Backs in this one. The Reds have done well against left-handed pitching, as they’ve hit .262 against them as opposed to .249 against righties. Ray enters with an average ERA of 4.92 in 71.1 innings of work. His team has lost five games in a row when he’s pitched, as well as losses in six of seven. After little movement from the Diamondbacks’ offense Friday, look for them to breakout against Harvey who has been regressing hard recently. There should be some runs on the board at the Great American Ballpark on Saturday.

The Bet: OVER 9 (-110)

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