Diamondbacks vs. Reds MLB Pick – July 19th

We notched a second straight winner last night with the Cubbies once again cashing a winning ticket. The Cubs won their fifth straight game to remain perfect after the All Star Break and things are starting to look up on the North Side. They made the splashy addition of Quintana to the rotation, but the bigger story is the long-awaiting awakening of their bats. Watch out for the Champs…

Elsewhere, BOOOO to Dusty Baker for giving Bryce Harper the day off today. I understand he had some rest planned for all his starters, and that it is finally Bryce’s turn, but we can’t have one more game of Harper vs. Trout?? The two best and brightest young stars in the business don’t link up often (at least until the both end up as Yankees…) and yesterday they traded opening inning home runs in delightful fashion. You mean to tell me young Bryce Harper HAS to sit today?? Come on, Dusty!!

Alas, we will get back to the diamond – no day’s off here – and see if we can make it three straight W’s.

Today’s MLB Pick:

Arizona Diamondbacks -163 at Cincinnati Reds +153 (Total: 9.5)
Zack Greinke (11-4, 2.86 ERA) vs. Tim Adelman (5-7, 4.99 ERA)

As hot as the Cubs are after the Break, their division mate Reds are as cold. Cincinnati has yet to win in the second half of the season, getting swept by the Nationals in an embarrassing four game romp and the bad times kept rolling in last night’s 11-2 defeat. They have been outscored by 32 runs in five games, for a -6.4 runs per game average. That is some stunning lousiness.

And tonight, they get All Star and former Cy Young winner, Zack Greinke. Loss #6 seems all but certain. And with that massive run differential trend, why not load up on the runline to get a little better price.

29-year old journeyman Tim Adelman hasn’t delivered a quality start since June 16th and has allowed 16 runs in his last four starts, spanning just 19.1 innings. Add in a dangerous D’Backs lineup in a small ballpark, and today could get ugly once again. Meanwhile, Greinke 10-3 with a 2.66 ERA in his last 15 starts, one of the best pitchers in all of baseball.

I’m surprised I don’t have to lay -130 or more to get the ‘Backs on the runline, but I’ll take advantage of the slimmer margin at slight plus money, +102.


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