Diamondbacks vs. Rockies MLB Pick – May 28th

The Colorado Rockies won in dramatic fashion again on Monday. In the third game in four days, the Rockies won on a walk-off. This time it happened in extra innings, as they rallied to down the Diamondbacks by a score of 4-3. The Rockies are going to need a lot more wins if they’re going to want to catch up with the Dodgers, though. With a record of 25-27, the Rockies have gotten off to a painful start to the 2019 season.

The Dodgers are running away with things, as they go into Tuesday with an eight-game lead in the NL West. The Diamondbacks and Padres are tied in 2nd, while the Rockies trail with a ten-game deficit. You can turn the lights out on the Giants, who are currently looking at a record of 21-31 going into this week.

Colorado has the talent to get back in the hunt, but catching the Dodgers might be a reach. Eyeing a wildcard might be a more realistic scenario for the Rockies. There is still a lot of time left to get really hot, and with the weather getting warmer, the ball is going to continue to soar at Coors Field. They have an offense that is going to do damage, though their pitching staff must step up and do their part.

If the Rockies are in contention around the trade deadline, they might be interested in bringing in a new pitcher. There aren’t too many pitchers who want to sign with the Rockies as a result of the air in Denver, so getting production from within and trades is how they have to improve their rotation.

In any case, Jon Gray had a solid showing on Memorial Day, as he went 5.1 strong innings to allow just 2 earned runs. Antonio Senzatela will look to do the same for the Rox on Tuesday. Rookie Merrill Kelly is expected to counter for the Diamondbacks. Head below for our free Diamondbacks vs. Rockies pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Rockies -138/Diamondbacks +118
  • O/U: 12

Pitching Matchup:

  • Merrill Kelly (4-5, 4.75 ERA)
  • Antonio Senzatela (3-4, 6.21 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Antonio Senzatela giving the Rockies nothing this season exemplifies the issues they’ve had in their rotation this season. He is currently listed at the No. 4 pitcher in their rotation. The Rockies could afford to get help from the front to the back in that respect. Senzatela is in his third season and gave a couple of decent seasons in his freshman and sophomore campaigns.

He finished with ERA’s of 4.68 and 4.38. So, he improved a bit and there were expectations for him to put it all together and have a breakout campaign in year three. That most certainly hasn’t been the case thus far. He’s been regressing and is coming off his worst start of the season against the Pirates.

Senzatela was hammered for 9 hits and 8 runs in Pittsburgh, as he lasted just 3.1 innings in a 14-6 loss. He enters with an ERA of 7.20 and 1.80 WHIP in his previous three outings. Home hasn’t been too friendly to Senzatela as well. He has gotten hard for an ERA of 7.27 in 17.1 innings of work at Coors Field. It isn’t as bad as what rookie Merrill Kelly has presented on the road, though.

Kelly hasn’t had a fun time as a guest and is making his very first start at Coors Field tonight. Note that Kelly has been way off with an ERA of 7.66 and 2.10 WHIP on the road in 2019. In his previous 5.2 innings on the road, he’s gotten roughed up for 11 earned runs and 12 hits. The Rockies should be able to get to him at home. Yesterday was just the second game at home that hasn’t gone OVER the total in 13 games for the Rockies. Expect the runs to return with Kelly and Senzatela on the bump tonight. We should see enough of them to put this OVER the posted total of 12 in Denver.

The Bet
OVER 12
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.