Diamondbacks vs. Rockies MLB Pick – May 3rd

The Colorado Rockies return home to host the Arizona Diamondbacks after winning two in a row over the Milwaukee Brewers. They were losers in the first-half of the four-game series in Milwaukee, but were able to respond nicely. Their latest win was an impressive 11-6 showing, as the offense poured it on again. Colorado scored 11 runs the previous day as well in a 11-4 final. The offense was asleep to start the season, but they’ve been showing signs of waking up lately.

The runs start and end with the production of Nolan Arenado and he’s been swinging the bat well recently. Between Wednesday and Thursday, Arenado accumulated 6 RBI’s with 6 hits. Along with that excellent stat line, Arenado also connected on 3 deep balls. He hit 2 on Wednesday and then another yesterday.

He is certainly beginning to look like the guy the Rockies expected him to be. When you sign a contract of his caliber, big expectations go along with it. Arenado is in an elite groove right now and we’ll see if it continues back in Denver at Coors Field against the D-Backs.

The third baseman has been getting help recently as well. David Dahl and Mark Reynolds both had big games yesterday as well, both connecting for 3 RBI’s to provide aid in the 11-6 win. The Rockies advanced to 15-17 in the last two days, but are still well behind the 8-ball in the NL West.

The favorite Dodgers lead the pack and are 4.5 games ahead of the Rockies. A couple of bad months can catch up to a team later, so it’s in their best interest to have a much better May. They did their part with their effort in Milwaukee the last two games. Conversely, the Diamondbacks are winners in two straight against the Yankees by scores of 3-2 and 3-1.

They were able to bring the Yankees back down to earth with the two-game sweep in that interleague series. Robbie Ray will get the nod for Arizona, while Tyler Anderson, who is in need of a nice showing will go for the Rockies. Head below for our free Diamondbacks vs. Rockies pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks -115/Rockies -105
  • O/U: 11

Pitching Matchup:

  • Robbie Ray (1-1, 4.18 ERA)
  • Tyler Anderson (0-2, 11.34 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

You would think that the Rockies would be inserted as the favorites in this spot. They’re returning home and on fire at the plate after torching the Brewers’ pitching on Wednesday and Thursday. However, it makes more sense when you know who is pitching for Rockies. Tyler Anderson has been getting rocked and doesn’t have much to be happy about thus far in 2019.

In four starts this season, Anderson doesn’t have one solid outing. He’s been exploited by the Marlins, Dodgers, Nationals, and Braves for 26 hits and 21 runs in 16.2 innings of play. That equates to an ERA of 11.34 and 2.16 WHIP. Anderson finished with a 4.55 ERA last season, so he can be better than that, but there have been some stormy skies for him so far.

His worst work has come at home in Denver. Anderson has posted an ERA of 14.14 with a WHIP of 2.71 at Coors Field. He’s been terrible everywhere but especially bad at home. He was on the IL earlier in the season with knee inflammation, so I’m not sure if that’s still bothering him and he’s not saying anything. In any event, he’s been bad and needs a quality start quickly.

I expect him to get some run support in this contest, though. His teammates have been more than capable of putting up runs on Robbie Ray. Ray gets the nod in Denver this evening and it hasn’t gone too swimmingly for him against this lineup. They’re hitting .353 with a .426 OBP against Ray in 136 at-bats, so they’ve been doing it consistently over a large sample size.

Charlie Blackmon and Nolan Arenado have both mauled Ray. Blackmon has 36 plate appearances against Ray and is hitting .472 with 4 home runs. He’s reached base 50% of the time with a .500 OBP. Arenado is hitting .355 with 3 long balls in 31 at-bats. It should be bombs away for the Rockies here. It’s a high total, but it appears to be justified. Consider a look at the OVER in Colorado between the Diamondbacks and Rockies on Friday.

The Bet
OVER 11
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.