Diamondbacks vs. Yankees MLB Pick – July 30th

The Arizona Diamondbacks are in New York for a rare series against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium. This is the first season that the Diamondbacks and Yankees have played since 2016. They’ve already met in the desert earlier in the season, with the Diamondbacks getting a sweep in Phoenix.

The offense was non-existent for the Yankees then, but that was a few months ago and a lot has changed since then. The Yankees took losses of 3-1 and 3-2 against the Diamondbacks. In New York this time around, it’s not going to be as easy for Arizona.

Like I said, a lot has changed, including the makeup of the Yankees’ lineup. They were a banged up unit at that point, who were just trying to get by for when the big bats returned to the offense. Despite the injuries, the fill ins did a tremendous job and had the team fighting with the Rays for 1st in the AL East.

There aren’t many teams in Major League Baseball, who can go through those kinds of injuries and still get out of it alive. They didn’t just survive, but they were thriving at times. And then when they got healthier, business picked up in the AL East.

The Yankees go into Tuesday with a record of 67-38, which has them 8.5 games up on the Rays. Barring anything crazy happening, the Yankees will be going into the postseason as winners of the division. The Rays and Red Sox are likely only going to be able to worry about getting a wildcard spot.

A future Yankee may be on the Diamondbacks at the moment. After missing on Marcus Stroman, Zack Greinke could be their next target. Greinke won’t be pitching tonight, though. Instead we’ll see rookie Taylor Clarke get his first ever start at Yankee Stadium. J.A. Happ, who the Yankees hope to upgrade in the rotation at the deadline, will get the call at home. Head below for our free Diamondbacks vs. Yankees pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. N.Y. Yankees Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Yankees -215/Diamondbacks +185
  • O/U: 11.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Taylor Clarke (3-3, 6.10 ERA)
  • J.A. Happ (8-5, 5.23 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Taylor Clarke is taking his lumps as a rookie and hopes to learn from them for next season. While an ERA of 6.10 isn’t impressing anybody, it can still be a valuable learning experience for a young pitcher. Going into Yankee Stadium as a rookie can always be an intimidating time, so this could be one of those learning experiences against the Yanks tonight. Clarke posted a 6.10 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in his last three outings, so you can’t say he isn’t consistent.

That’s right on par with his overall ERA of 6.08 in 12 appearances. He is going to have to tame an offense who are 2nd in the majors with 5.81 runs scored per game. Following a big performance on Sunday night against the Red Sox, I can see the Yankees continuing the onslaught against the rookie in this contest. The Yankees are hitting .273 against right-handed pitching and shouldn’t see any issues Tuesday against Clarke. J.A. Happ is going to have to keep the Diamondbacks at bay, though. He has been suspect in 2019 and has been getting hit pretty hard.

The D-backs have been hitting well against lefties this season, as they come into Yankee Stadium with a .278 average as opposed to a .245 against righties. Happ has posted an ERA of 6.59 and 1.76 WHIP in his last three contests. That isn’t too far off from his overall mark of 5.23 on the season.

Yankee Stadium hasn’t been the friendliest to him, as Happ enters with a 5.76 ERA in 54.2 innings. Keeping the ball down has been a major problem for him in New York. He’s yielded 9 home runs on the road and 14 home runs at home. I don’t see runs being an issue tonight, so the OVER looks like the logical play between the Diamondbacks and Yankees.

The Bet
OVER 11.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.