gravatar

Dodgers vs. Astros World Series Game 5 Pick – October 29th

The Dodgers made sure there were going to be no doubts last night. In what was a close contest throughout, behind a 1-hit effort from Alex Wood, the Dodgers opened the door and broke it down in the top of the 9th. Ken Giles, who really is a thorn in the side of Astro fans, got hit in the 9th and from there the Dodgers busted it open. The Astros got a solo shot in the bottom of the 9th with 2 outs and 2 strikes, just to irritate me and my UNDER 8 wager. I’ve had a few of those in my life, having a 5 runs or more cushion going into the 9th on an UNDER and it doesn’t cash in the end. There are bad beats, and then there are bad pushes. Most sportsbooks moved to 8.5 so most of you wouldn’t have had a problem there, though.

Game 5 is what you could consider the biggest game of the World Series thus far. A win will force the other to win two in a row, duh. It’s particularly important for the Astros, because they’d have to win two straight at Dodger Stadium. The World Series is a 2-3-2 format, so either way this series is finishing in Los Angeles. The Dodgers get a guy by the name of Clayton Kershaw on the mound on Sunday. On the other side, it’s Dallas Keuchel getting the honors for the Astros. In more than one way, this is a huge game. It’s ace vs. ace in Game 5 of the World Series tonight. Head below for our free World Series Game 5 pick.

L.A. Dodgers vs. Houston Astros Pick

Clayton Kershaw (18-4, 2.13 ERA) vs. Dallas Keuchel (14-5, 2.90 ERA)

Kershaw can kill the demons of his baseball past with a strong showing against the Dodgers. He’s heard it for years that he isn’t a postseason pitcher, and here in Game 5 of the World Series, Kershaw can put it all to bed. Last season in five appearances, Kershaw posted a 4.44 ERA in the postseason. In 2014 he had a 7.82 ERA, in 2009 a 6.08 ERA, and there are other poor postseasons I could note. However, he hasn’t lost a game yet, and owns an ERA of 2.96 in the 2017 postseason. Kershaw also holds an ERA of 1.99 and 0.96 WHIP on the road.

Kershaw will face Keuchel in a rematch of Game 1. The Dodgers got to Keuchel for 3 runs across 6.2 innings. Conversely, Kershaw pitched 7 strong innings, allowing just 1 run and 3 hits. If Kershaw is playing lights out, the Dodgers should feel comfortable allowing him to go the distance against the Astros. Managers try and get too cute sometimes.

8 innings of Kershaw and an inning of Kenley Jansen could give the Dodgers a 3-2 series lead. I’m just not so sure about the price on the Dodgers, though. Keuchel is a fine pitcher in his own right. His last two outings were his worst since September 9th, eight starts ago. He hadn’t allowed at least 3 runs since that point. He gave up 4 to the Yankees and 3 to the Astros. Keuchel is typically dynamite at home with a 2.03 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Those two starts came on the road. I find it difficult to fade him at a price of -150 on the Dodgers. With that said, it’s also hard to see Kershaw reverting back to ghosts of postseasons past. He knows to cement his legacy this needs to be the time to shine. I feel comfortable backing two of the best pitchers in the majors with a play on the UNDER in Game 5 of the World Series.

PICK: UNDER 7 (-110)

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *