Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks MLB Pick – August 29th

The Dodgers needed extra time, but they were able to close out the Padres with a 6-4 win last night. It wasn’t the prettiest series for the Dodgers, as they struggled to put the Padres away last night, and then came up with a loss Tuesday night. In between those two games, the Dodgers punished the Pads for a 9-0 final, though.

That looked like the Dodgers team we’ve become familiar with in 2019. While it could be easy to get bored with a 20-game lead in the NL West, they still are in a fight for homefield advantage throughout the postseason. The Dodgers are currently tied with the Yankees with a record of 88-47. The Astros are close behind at 87-47.

With respects to the National League, the Dodgers are in complete control. Barring an unexpected disaster, they’re going into the postseason with homefield advantage in the NL. The Yankees or Astros look like good bets to reach the World Series out of the AL, so it could be important to secure the best record in the major leagues.

The Diamondbacks are the next closest team to the Dodgers in the NL West. That doesn’t mean much because the gap is a whopping 20 games. Arizona enter Thursday with a record of 67-66. That gives them an outside shot at reaching the Wild Card Game.

They’re 4.5 games back of the Cubs going into Thursday. Difficult but I guess not impossible. Hyun-jin Ryu will be in the saddle for the Dodgers on the bump tonight. He is coming off one of his worst starts of the year against the Yankees. The same goes for Merrill Kelly, who struggled in Milwaukee against the Brewers. Head below for our free Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks pick.

L.A. Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Dodgers -204/Diamondbacks +174
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Hyun-jin Ryu (12-4, 2.00 ERA)
  • Merrill Kelly (9-13, 4.86 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Hyun-jin Ryu had his second bad start of the season in his most recent appearance. Ryu was hammered for 7 runs against the Yankees in a 10-2 loss at Dodger Stadium. In his other misstep, Ryu allowed 7 runs in Colorado against the Rockies. This most recent effort was even worse because of the fact that Ryu was at home and wasn’t pitching in the Denver air.

There really was no excuse for his performance against the Yanks. That said, Ryu is still in control for the Cy Young in the National League. Despite those two games, he still owns a terrific 2.00 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. If he continues to struggle in September, things could begin to get interesting between him and Scherzer, though. Ryu has stated that he isn’t fatigued, which is something that has been rumored.

Ryu has been solid against the Diamondbacks in past starts. The D-backs are hitting .200 with just 6 runs scored in 125 at-bats. Adam Jones is the only batter on the roster to hit a home run against him. Ryu’s counterpart this evening, Merrill Kelly, is on the heels of a similar performance.

Kelly was whipped pretty good for 6 earned runs in Milwaukee. It was the second in three games that Kelly allowed 6 runs. In his previous three outings, he’s been pummelled for a 7.80 ERA and 2.07 WHIP. And in four of his last six games, Kelly has allowed at least 6 runs.

I have more confidence in Ryu bouncing back here than Kelly. After allowing 7 runs against the Rockies, Ryu responded with a standout outing with no runs yielded against the Padres in a 5-1 win. The Dodgers look like a solid play to get this series underway in the desert.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.