Dodgers vs. Giants MLB Pick – May 1st

The LA Dodgers responded in a big way last night in San Francisco. After losing the first of three games against their rivals on Monday night, the Dodgers came out strong on Tuesday and dismantled the Giants. After 9 innings of play, the Dodgers left Oracle Park with a 10-3 win to their name. The Dodgers and Giants will meet once more before calling it a series. With both teams getting a win, this will be the rubber contest.

The Giants won as decent underdogs in the first game behind another highlight performance by Jeff Samardzija. Who would have thought Samardzija would have better numbers than Madison Bumgarner right now? It’s early and all, with the potential that Bumgarner will have much better numbers than Samardzija by the end of the season, but he’s looked like the better pitcher thus far. The numbers tell all that you need to know.

And the numbers for the Giants overall this season haven’t been fantastic. They enter tonight with a record of 12-18 which puts them in last in the NL West. The Giants are in a division with four capable teams, so I don’t see how much is going to change by the end of the season.

The Dodgers are likely going to have the divisional crown and the Giants will finish at the bottom. Colorado are currently just ahead of the Giants, but I can see them going on a run in the summer. The Giants will pick away here and there instead of truly getting hot.

In any event, they did a good job upsetting the Dodgers on Monday, which was the second win for the Giants over them this season. However, the Dodgers still have the edge with three wins to five thus far. Head below for our free Dodgers vs. Giants pick.

L.A. Dodgers vs. S.F. Giants Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -140/Giants +120
  • O/U: 7

Pitching Matchup:

  • Hyun-Jin Ryu (3-1, 2.96 ERA)
  • Madison Bumgarner (1-4, 4.30 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Madison Bumgarner has earned a spot in Giants’ lore for his contributions to this franchise. The lefty has enjoyed one of the most consistent careers in Major League Baseball all the way back ten years ago when he started. His efforts in the postseason will be talked about for a long time as well, which ultimately resulted in three World Series championships.

All of that said, Bumgarner only pitched in 17 games in 2017 and 21 last season. He’s been hampered by injuries since reaching a career-high ERA of 2.74 in 2016. That can happen when you get older, especially for a pitcher like Bumgarner who has been overworked the last ten years.

Bumgarner goes into Wednesday with a below average ERA of 4.30. His worst season statistically in the regular season was a 3.37 ERA in 2012. The Giants won the World Series that year and Bumgarner had a helping hand in the postseason, so it’s hard to say that it was his worst. He’s allowed 9 runs in the last two games, which stretches across 11.2 innings of work. In three of his previous four games, Bumgarner has given up at least 4 runs per start.

While his career has been flawless, he has struggled against this lineup in his career. Dodgers’ hitters have gotten to Bumgarner for a .293 batting average and .336 OBP. They’ve also connected for 15 long balls in 270 at-bats. There’s a lot of history here with a big sample size against Bumgarner, so that is working in their favor here.

After breaking out last night for 10 runs, I expect the Dodgers to have another decent night. They are unlikely to put up double digits again, but Ryu has been pitching well enough that they won’t need to. Ryu gets the start in this one with an ERA of 2.96 and 1.02 WHIP. He’s been consistent with only 2 runs allowed in each of his last four starts, which is about as consistent as a pitcher can get.

Five starts ago, he gave up only 1 run so it’s been a nice run for him. Ryu hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in any start, though he did leave early against the Cards after allowing 2 in 1.2 innings. He should be productive against an offense who have struggled with just 3.2 runs per game, 29th in the majors. I was on the Giants in the opener of this series and made out well with a win. Tonight I’m on the opposite side behind Ryu and the Dodgers.

The Bet
DODGERS
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.