Dodgers vs. Marlins MLB Pick – August 13th

The Los Angeles Dodgers head to south beach for a three-game series against the Miami Marlins. They won’t be home until next Tuesday after a weekend series against the Braves. This could be a lookahead spot for the Dodgers in Miami. The Marlins aren’t fielding the best team over the next three days.

Their best chance of having success in this one is because of their opponent. If the Dodgers are focused and want to play this shouldn’t be close. Get distracted far away from home and the Marlins might have a glimmer of hope to win or be competitive at least.

The Dodgers enter Tuesday with a record of 79-41, while the Marlins are swimming at the bottom with a mark of 44-73. They’ve had 37 losses at home already at 24-37. Miami were competitive in their most recent series over the weekend. They took a split against the Braves, which is a win for the Marlins.

It’s a small win that doesn’t mean anything, but putting up a fight is enough for them at this point. The Dodgers are looking for far much more. Anything less than a World Series is a pointless endeavor for the Dodgers.

They’ve gone 7-1 in their last eight games. Their lone loss came in the series opener against the Diamondbacks this past weekend. Walker Buehler pitched a solid game, but the offense came up short in a 3-2 loss. Credit Robbie Ray for keeping the Dodgers contained.

The Marlins have a mountain to climb against Clayton Kershaw this evening. The 31-year-old is still pitching at an elite level. He just has to keep it together in the postseason. Kershaw hopes to teach rookie Jordan Yamamoto a lesson or two in this one. Head below for our free Dodgers vs. Marlins pick.

L.A. Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -260/Marlins +220
  • O/U: 8

Pitching Matchup:

  • Clayton Kershaw (11-2, 2.77 ERA)
  • Jordan Yamamoto (4-3, 4.17 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Jordan Yamamoto has a difficult chore against the Dodgers this evening. He can look at Robbie Ray for a blueprint on how to slow their bats down. However, if they want to do damage and are focused, it’s often difficult to be able to throw off the Dodgers’ offense. Yamamoto will be making only the 11th start of his career this evening.

The rookie has seen some mixed results thus far. He opened his career at the major league level throwing darts, with no runs allowed in his first 14 innings. Yamamoto didn’t allow more than 2 runs in his first six starts. However, the regression bug has hit him hard in four outings since. Yamamoto hasn’t allowed less than 4 runs in his previous four outings.

He enters this contest with a 7.88 ERA in his previous 16 innings pitched. This will be his second start against the Dodgers in his career. The first wasn’t pretty, as he surrendered 5 earned runs in a 9-0 loss. He at least gets the Dodgers at Marlins Park this time around.

Yamamoto might have a better start than that, it can’t get much worse for him. However, expect the Dodgers to open up the scoring early against him. They are going to be backed by Kershaw, who has been fantastic against the Marlins in his career.

The Marlins are hitting just .156 with 1 home run in 154 at-bats against Kershaw. If the offense gets off to a slow start, Kershaw is likely to keep the Dodgers in it until they get the bats going. When they get to the bullpen, the Marlins aren’t going to offer the most resistance. They are 22nd in the majors with an ERA of 4.70. Conversely, the Dodgers’ relievers are 7th as a group. Behind Kershaw, this looks like a win by at least 2 runs in Miami.

The Bet
DODGERS -1.5
Kyle E
Kyle E / author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.