Clayton Kershaw has been making the headlines for all the wrong reasons this season. No, there hasn’t been any kind of off the field issues for him or the Dodgers. The reason Kershaw has been noticed is not for his prowess on the mound thus far, but instead how he hasn’t looked like Cy Young Kershaw. Like a Steph Curry jump shot, you just expected Kershaw to do his thing every time he threw a pitch. When Curry misses a shot or Kershaw allows a hit it, there is a sense that there has to be something amiss with them on that particular night. Kershaw has allowed more runs and hits than usual this season, so there has been some eyebrows being raised. However, while Kershaw hasn’t been as strong as we’ve seen, he is still playing good baseball. It isn’t like his ERA has risen to 5.00 this season or something. Kershaw still has the ability to finish with very strong numbers given he turns it up in the second-half of the 2015 season. I still have faith in him, and you should, too.
Again, like I said before, this season has either been easy wins or nail biting, close losses. Last night was one of the easier varieties with a 2-1 win from the Mets cashing the UNDER 6.5. Other than a couple of early runs, there wasn’t much in the way of offense in that one. Nailed that prediction, as the price on the money line was telling you to take the Mets and the total was telling you that if that was to come true, it was going to take a low scoring game and an impressive showing from Noah Syndergaard to hold the Reds’ offense in check. Check below for our MLB pick of the day for Saturday.
L.A. Dodgers vs. N.Y. Mets
Clayton Kershaw (5-5, 3.33 ERA) vs. Tom Koehler (5-4, 3.76 ERA)
I made the mistake of fading Tom Koehler in his last start at home against Tanaka and the Yankees. Koehler is a pitcher of two tales, a lost soul pitching on the road, but when he is at home he’s looked like a different pitcher. I liked the UNDER in that one as well, but ultimately went with the Yankees instead behind Tanaka. Tanaka was great, but Koehler was that much better than him. He went 7 innings allowing only 3 hits and 1 run. He has yet to get rocked at home, with the most he has surrendered is 3 runs at home, which only came on one occasion. Koehler holds an ERA of 1.52 at home, parlayed with a 1.02 WHIP and .262 OBP. Conversely, on the road he has a 6.21 ERA.
For the Dodger offense it has been a little bit of the same, just on the offensive side for them it has been a story of two tales. The offense was stuck in the mud early in the season, they briefly got it together, and now they find themselves fluctuating between good and bad. In their last ten games they’ve only averaged 3.4 runs per game, which could have been worse if it were not for a 10 run explosion against Tim Lincecum last week. Same goes for the Marlins, who averaged 3.1 runs in their last 10 matchups. If it weren’t for a 12 run game eight games ago they would most certainly be under 3 runs per game. Kershaw has had a terrific 1.99 ERA against the Marlins throughout his career. Looks like a good spot for stingy Kershaw to make an appearance. Betting against Koehler at home though doesn’t seem like a mistake I want to make again. Just like my pick last night, it’s looking like another one that produces a low scoring result on the scoreboard, with a nice price to boot.
PICK: UNDER 6.5 RUNS (+121)