We were looking good for an underdog winner last night with Alfredo Simon pitching well and staking the Reds to a 4-2 lead in the seventh over the favored Pirates. But the Reds bullpen did what it does so well, allow runs with stunning consistency. They allowed one in the seventh, one in the eighth and the game-winner in the ninth to once again snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
We took the loss along with the beleaguered pen and will attempt to bounce back today.
Meanwhile, if you were doubled-up on a Padres double header sweep over the Cubbies, you are rolling in fat piles of cash today. They Pads were massive underdogs in both games; one peaking as high as +230, only to emerge with a 7-4 win in the afternoon and a 1-0 shutout in the evening – the first time the Cubs have been shut out this season. I have been banging the Cubs drum, but noticeably NOT betting them since last week when the lines began ballooning to absurd heights. Keep in mind, they could have one of the best season in modern history and still lose once every three games… it’s baseball.
Let’s get a W today and start a new winning streak to take into the weekend.
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Today’s Free Pick:
New York Mets +190 at Los Angeles Dodgers -205 (Total: 6)
Bartolo Colon (3-1, 2.82 ERA) vs. Clayton Kershaw (4-1, 2.02 ERA)
I love me some Clayton Kershaw but at more than 1:2 money against a good team and a pitcher, though often laughed at, who is hurling well at age 42, is a little rich for my blood. Especially given that Kershaw has been very good, but not flat-out unhittable. It seems reasonable that the Mets can scratch out a run or two at least, and then face an excellent bullpen. I don’t think the Mets score more than two runs, but I am not sure the Dodgers pile them up either.
Colon is in the zone. He might not go yard again tonight (obviously joking), but I expect him to keep the Dodgers inside it as well. The Dodgers aren’t exactly mashing at the dish this season as well.
Kershaw is 6-0 with a 1.34 ERA in nine regular season starts against the Mets in his career. He did lose to them in last year’s postseason, but as has been well documented, that is a different animal for Kershaw. For today, look for him to be sharp and in command. I expect him to win, but am not counting out a great matching effort from Bartolo.
Instead, I’ll stay under six in a nice 3-1, 2-1 type baseball game.