Dodgers vs. Padres MLB Pick – May 3rd

The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres will link up over the weekend for a three-game series at Petco Park. This is the first meeting Manny Machado will have against the Dodgers since departing Los Angeles to go more south in California. Machado only played 66 games as a Dodger, so it isn’t like this is going to be an emotional game or anything of the sort.

In any event, Machado helped with getting the Dodgers to the World Series. They weren’t able to cap it off with a championship, but for the five minutes that he was in Los Angeles, there were some memories made as a Dodger. Machado headed for greener pastures, as in more money elsewhere in San Diego.

The Padres have long been searching for a bat like Machado, but it didn’t come cheap and he doesn’t have much of a killer instinct. He doesn’t give his all like a Mike Trout and tends to get lazy at times.

I think it’s pretty evident that all he cares about is the dollar signs. That’s most players, though Machado doesn’t do a good job of hiding it. He’s said that hustling isn’t his cup of tea, so yeah, straight from the horse’s mouth.

Machado has gotten off to a rather slow start for his standards. On his contract, he must do better than a batting average of .236. Machado has also hit 5 home runs, but there are already eight guys in double digits. Machado is getting paid more than all of them.

His team goes into tonight with a record of 18-14 for a pretty decent start to the season. If Machado gets hot, then the Padres are going to go on a pretty nice run. The Dodgers are 1st in the NL West with a record of 20-13, which is good for a 1.5-game lead on the Padres. Head below for our free Dodgers vs. Padres pick.

L.A. Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -165/Padres +145
  • O/U: 7

Pitching Matchup:

  • Clayton Kershaw (1-0, 2.25 ERA)
  • Eric Lauer (2-3, 4.41 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Clayton Kershaw will look to chew up the Padres after getting into a pretty nice groove recently. When Kershaw has everything working, he can be the most dangerous pitchers in the major leagues. He has proven that across his eleven-year career which dates back to 2008. Kershaw was flawless against the Pirates in his most recent showing, as he nailed the Pirates down for just 1 earned run and 4 hits in 7 innings.

He hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in any of his three starts this season. Kershaw was sharp against the Reds, Brewers, and Pirates as the Dodgers won in each contest. The 2.73 ERA he posted last season was his highest since 2010 when he pitched a 2.91 ERA. It’s early but Kershaw looks ready to beat the numbers he put up last season. Kershaw goes into Friday with a 2.25 ERA and 0.75 WHIP, allowing just 11 hits across 20 innings of work.

Kershaw has been just about flawless in his career against this lineup. As a team, the Padres are hitting .180 with just 2 long balls in 100 at-bats against Kershaw. Eric Hosmer is the only Padre to get 5 hits on Kershaw during his lengthy career. To add to their struggles, the Padres are hitting just .202 against left-handed pitching. There shouldn’t be an issue for Kershaw against the Padres on Friday. He should be able to keep rolling in San Diego.

Sophomore Eric Lauer got his feet wet as a rookie with an ERA of 4.34 in 2018. He completed 23 starts and was pretty adequate for a youngster. Lauer has been fairly similar to that production this season thus far. He faces the Dodgers with an ERA of 4.41 and 1.32 WHIP. Lauer must be better than that for his team to generate a win. With Kershaw pitching well and the Padres having a less then desirable history against the lefty, it’s tough to see San Diego doing much at the plate. The Dodgers likely emerge with a win in San Diego to get this three-game series underway at Petco Park.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.