Another total, another winner. I have been killing totals lately, and we kept on rolling last night with an easy under winner. There actually wasn’t an earned run in that game until the 9th inning after Jay Bruce connected on a pitch to send it to deep right into the seats. The Reds completed the comeback bid with a walk-off single by Brandon Philips to capture the 2-1 victory. Whenever a game goes into extras, and you have an under, there is always that thought in the back of your mind you could get screwed. It happened to me in a 15th inning 0-0 game, so bets are never cashed until the final out is recorded or the clock hits 0:00. Just ask a Miami Heat fan that left in game 6.
Free MLB Pick:
Los Angeles Dodgers +121 at San Diego Padres -131 (Total: 7.5)
Stephen Fife (1-2, 3.74 ERA) vs. Jason Marquis (9-2, 3.36 ERA)
Out to the west coast we go for tonight’s pick. Soon as the NBA finals is concluding you can flip over to this game which promises to be a thriller. Well, probably not, but that’s why I like this game so much. The Los Angeles Dodgers travel back to the west after a series with the New York Yankees. The Dodgers and Padres are in very different positions from what was forecast prior to the season starting. The Padres, once a laughing stock, are on the upswing. Meanwhile the Dodgers are still trying to pinpoint their issues.
Yasiel Puig blasted his 5th homer of the year in New York last night, bringing his batting average on the year to .474. Puig is the lone bright spot in a team that expected playoffs at the very least several months ago. The Dodgers have had to battle through injuries routinely this season, most notably, I don’t know if Hanley Ramirez is going or coming, as he has bounced in and out of the lineup. Ramirez will be active for tonight’s game, however.
Dodgers’ pitcher Stephen Fife hasn’t exactly been a bright spot per say, but he has been a pleasant surprise. Minus one bad game against the Orioles, Fife has had himself a solid, consistent year in Los Angeles. Fife has an ERA of 3.74 and 2.65 in his last three starts. Looking at his numbers, Fife has allowed only 1 or 2 runs max in his last ten starts; the exception being 4 against the Orioles in Baltimore. Some of the best pitchers in the league have gotten rocked in Baltimore, so it isn’t too much of a concern. His road ERA of 5.59 is a concern, but he has benefited from playing in a pitcher friendly park in Los Angeles, which Petco in San Diego certainly is as well.
Jason Marquis is another consistent pitcher that brings a solid repertoire of tools to the fold. Marquis faced the Dodgers just three starts ago on the road and allowed only 2 runs on 3 hits. His numbers won’t blow you away, but he is what he is, an average pitcher that won’t get blitzed on a regular basis, similar to Fife. The Dodgers had to make the long trek back home last night after a convincing win over the Yankees, so I don’t see them being too excited to play the Padres. I like the UNDER 7.5 with a lean to the Padres.
Free Pick: UNDER 7.5