Dodgers vs. Phillies MLB Pick – July 16th

What hangover? After winning two of three games at Fenway Park, which included a late-night win in extras on Sunday Night Baseball, the Dodgers pounded the Phillies yesterday. There was no hangover at all, as they poured it on for 16 runs. Since scoring 3 runs in extra innings Sunday, the Dodgers have recorded 19 runs in 12 innings of play.

The Dodgers have the talent to put up a lot of runs in a hurry and that was on full display against the Phillies. With the win, the Dodgers added their 63rd win on the season to advance to 63-33. They are leading in the NL West by just over two touchdowns, so it’s in the bag. This is the second straight year that a team had a division wrapped up before the All-Star Game.

Frustration continues to be written on the faces of the Phillies, as they continue to dig a bigger hole for themselves. What was a tight battle with the Braves for 1st in the NL East, has turned into a 9-game deficit in the division. The Nationals have since passed them, as the Phillies approach a record of .500. All of the blame is going to be placed on Bryce Harper. He was getting heckled in his own park last night by Dodgers’ fans. And I’m sure there were a few Phillies’ fans who were letting him hear it as well.

Allowing 16 runs goes beyond a Bryce Harper problem, though. Their bullpen in particular has been a letdown. Their worst was on display last night at home. Nobody was good, including starter Zach Eflin, who got strung up for 9 hits and 7 runs in 6 innings.

The Phillies went to four relievers and they all allowed at least a run. Vince Velasquez will look to pick up the pieces for the Phillies’ pitching staff on Tuesday. Walker Buehler will start opposite Velasquez for the Dodgers in this contest. Head below for our free Dodgers vs. Phillies pick.

L.A. Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -196/Phillies +168
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Walker Buehler (8-1, 3.46 ERA)
  • Vince Velasquez (2-5, 4.63 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

As only a 24-year-old, Walker Buehler has shown plenty of reasons why the Dodgers are excited about him. Clayton Kershaw isn’t getting any younger, but Buehler offers reason to be excited about the future in the Dodgers’ rotation. The future is now for Buehler, though. His name gets lost amidst a pitching staff that has talent from the top to the bottom. However, Buehler would be the No. 1 guy in a lot of other rotations around the major leagues.

He has lost just one game and sports an ERA of 3.46 going into this contest. Buehler was worked at Coors Field for 7 runs two outings ago, but that’s the only real terrible outing for him. Every pitcher has had faced some issues at Coors Field this season, so we’ll chalk that up as an outlier. Take that effort out, and Buehler has allowed more than 3 runs on just one other occasion since April 11th. Velasquez is likely going to have a lot of work in front of him in this game. He is going to have to worry about Buehler mowing down his offense, and then will have to find a way to mow down a red-hot Dodgers’ offense.

The heavy lumber was out the last two days for the Dodgers, as they throttled any pitcher in their way, with 23 runs in only two games. After going through four members of the rotation a night ago, the Phillies are going to see another tricky game tonight. Their relievers collectively own an ERA of 4.74 for 21st in the majors. Conversely, the Dodgers are 10th with a 4.05 ERA out of the bullpen. When the Dodgers are feeling it, it’s best not to fade them and just ride the wave. Consider going with the Dodgers to win by 2 or more runs on Tuesday in Philadelphia.

The Bet
DODGERS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.