Dodgers vs. Rockies MLB Pick – July 29th

The Colorado Rockies return home after a lengthy ten-game road trip. After going just 3-7, they are likely going to feel good about going back to Coors Field. Their latest loss was a close 3-2 decision against the Cincinnati Reds yesterday afternoon. That was the rubber game which they failed to convert and ultimately dropped two of three games in Cincinnati.

With a 1-2 series loss to the Yankees and 1-3 to the Nationals as well, the Rockies failed to find a way to win a series during their road trip. That’s not how you go about getting into the postseason. Catching the Dodgers is an afterthought at this point, as they grasp onto a 14.5-game lead in the NL West. The Rockies are 2nd but that doesn’t mean much with that much of a hole.

Their wildcard prospects are looking rather dim as well, which is a huge disappointment for this club. Down by 7.5 games, they need to catch fire in the final two months. This is on the heels of going to the NLDS last night and signing Nolan Arenado to an extension this past offseason. A record of 49-57 with August approaching is not what they envisioned. Arenado has been playing well with a .302 batting average and 22 home runs, so blame can’t go his way like Bryce Harper in Philadelphia.

While the Dodgers are walking away with the division, there is a chance for them to get to comfortable. At this point, they just have to stay focused and not fall into a lull like the Indians did last season. This team certainly has more talent, but it’s always a concern for a team with nothing to play for in August and September.

With the Astros at 68 wins and the Dodgers at 69 going into Monday, homefield advantage throughout the postseason would be an asset, though. Kenta Maeda is scheduled to get the start at the difficult Coors Field for the Dodgers tonight. Jon Gray is expected to counter for the Rockies. Gray has been one of the few pitchers who hasn’t been impacted by Coors too much. Head below for our free Dodgers vs. Rockies pick.

L.A. Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -140/Rockies +120
  • O/U: 12.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Kenta Maeda (7-7, 3.81 ERA)
  • Jon Gray (9-7, 4.05 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Kenta Maeda got out of Coors Field alive in his most recent outing in Denver. He led the Dodgers to a 10-5 win on June 30th. Maeda wasn’t able to get the win, but with just 2 runs allowed in 4.1 innings, that’s a big win for Maeda.

Especially considering that Maeda hasn’t been at his best on the road in 2019. Dodger Stadium has been friendly to Maeda, as he holds an ERA of 2.53 and 0.84 WHIP in 57 innings. It’s a different story on the road, where Maeda has a 5.23 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.

The Dodgers will live with it if he continues to pitch like that at home. They’ve been largely unbeatable at home, with a record of 40-14 at Dodger Stadium. The Rockies are hitting .244 with a .317 against Maeda in 164 at-bats. He goes into Monday with a 4.50 ERA in his last 12 innings pitched.

Maeda will square off against Jon Gray, who is coming off a sharp performance against the Nationals. He allowed 2 hits 1-run in 4 innings of play, but the offense couldn’t help him out in Washington. Back home in Denver, there should be ample run support. The Rockies are averaging 6.64 runs per game in the hitter’s paradise.

Gray hasn’t been bothered all too much by the air in Colorado. He carries an ERA of 3.90 in 55.5 innings into Monday night. Most impressively, is the fact that he’s allowed only 7 home runs at Coors Field. That doesn’t sound outstanding, but in this ballpark it’s pretty solid.

Gray notched a 5-3 win for the Rockies in his most recent performance against the Dodgers. He had a standout outing, with just 2 earned runs allowed in 6.2 innings at Coors Field on June 29th. With the Rockies returning home, and the Dodgers continuing on a road trip, there seems to be some value with Colorado in this spot as an underdog.

The Bet
ROCKIES
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.