Dodgers vs. Rockies MLB Pick – June 29th

The runs kept coming at Coors Field, as the Los Angeles Dodgers and Colorado Rockies got into a high-scoring affair. When the dust settled, the Rockies handed the Dodgers a 13-9 loss. The Dodgers were previously on a 12-game winning streak against the Rockies, so that put an end to that. Ryu has been a Cy Young candidate this season, but he was no match for Coors Field.

The Rockies pounded Ryu for 9 hits and 7 earned runs in 4 innings. It was by far the worst outing of his season. The bad showing skews his numbers in the wrong direction, as he went from an ERA of 1.27 to a 1.83 in just one start. In spite of the bad game, Ryu still has Cy Young numbers going into his next scheduled performance.

It goes to show you what a wild ride it’s been in Denver at Coors Field in the summer. Going back to the Rockies’ previous home series, there have been a staggering 134 runs scored in the last six games at Coors Field. The ballpark is well on pace to setting a regular season record in terms of runs scored.

With temperatures rising into July, don’t expect the craziness to end. Things will of course settle down eventually here and there, but overall, we are likely going to see a lot of runs scored in July and August.

Oddsmakers are being forced to jack the total up now. However, it hasn’t been nearly high enough recently. After Ryu got pummeled into the ground, we’ll see if Clayton Kershaw can be the guy to crack Coors Field. Jon Gray, who has been effective this season as well, will get the green light from the Rockies on Saturday. Head below for our free Dodgers vs. Rockies pick.

L.A. Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -155/Rockies +135
  • O/U: 12.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Clayton Kershaw (7-1, 3.07 ERA)
  • Jon Gray (8-5, 3.92 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Coors Field has always had a lot of runs scored given the altitude in Denver. This has been getting kind of ridiculous recently, though. As soon as the weather started getting hotter, the ball has been impossible to keep down. The juiced ball theory is alive and well here. With the altitude in Denver, heat, and a juiced ball, it’s the perfect recipe for a ton of runs.

Major League Baseball hasn’t come out and made a statement about the baseballs, but it seems like widespread agreement among players that the balls are different than before. Coors Field has just made it that much worse. Of course, this is all speculation, but we do know that it’s going to be another hot day in Denver on Saturday. Weather forecasts have the temps hitting 96 degrees.

Jon Gray will do his best to hold down an offense he hasn’t enjoyed the best success against. In fact, Gray hasn’t been good at all against the Dodgers, who are hitting .350 with a .448 OBP against him in 117 at-bats. Nearly half of the batters he’s faced have reached base. Given the conditions at Coors Field recently, that does not bode well for him at all. Gray has developed into a reliable option for the Rockies, but so was Ryu before he got demolished yesterday in this park.

The Rockies have been good against lefties this season, having hit .272 up to this point. Kershaw is Kershaw, but he has been rather pedestrian against the Rockies. They’re hitting .234 with a .301 OBP, including 7 long balls and 21 runs. Nolan Arenado and Charlie Blackmon have a lot of history against him, and both have done pretty well against the All-Star.

Arenado is hitting .291 with 3 home runs in 55 at-bats, and Blackmon .302 and 2 home runs in 53 at-bats. Daniel Murphy has also done well, with a .313 average in 16 at-bats. So, while Gray and Kershaw have been solid on the year, there is going to be another good chance of a lot of runs being scored on Saturday in Denver. A total of 12.5 featuring Kershaw sounds ridiculous, but with both teams red-hot at the plate, and the Coors Field scoreboard breaking from all of the runs, we likely see at least 13 runs on Saturday.

The Bet
OVER 12.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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