We notched our second straight MLB winner last night, and we needed every ounce of awesome implosion from the vaunted Cincinnati bullpen to squeak it out. The Reds didn’t muster but a single run against Lester, but JJ Hoover saved the day by doing what he does so well – bring a giant gas can out to the mound and quickly turn a 4-1 game into an 8-1 winner. Look, closers are going to lose a few games, but when it becomes a habit that your closer LEAVES the field with the manager as opposed to hugging his catcher or dodging celebrating foes, things are especially bad… ugly night in Cincy and the Cubs pushed their season run differential to a staggering +67 – EASILY on pace for the greatest mark in the history of baseball (no, not insinuating it will hold to form, just putting how ridiculous +67 on April 23rd is into context…)
Let’s see if we can grab a third straight winner on the diamond this evening.
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Today’s Free Pick:
Los Angeles Dodgers -130 at Colorado Rockies +121 (Total: 11)
Kenta Maeda (2-0, 0.47 ERA) vs. Tyler Chatwood (2-1, 2.79 ERA)
I get the inherent danger of betting on an UNDER at Coors Field, especially with a pair of young hurlers on the mound. But to this point this season, both of these young pitchers have looked really good; especially Maeda, who has the daunting task of stepping forward in a rotation that lost Zack Greinke to free agency in the offseason. He started his major league career with 14 scoreless innings before allowing a single run in his last start against San Francisco. The lefty has good stuff, but he will obviously get a nice test today in Coors Field.
Meanwhile, he will be opposed by another young hurler off to a promising start, Tyler Chatwood. Chatwood is looking good after missing all of 2015 with Tommy John surgery. Games at Coors are averaging a league high 14.2 runs per game – a simply insane number. But then again, so is an OVER/UNDER of 11 with a guy on the mound who has overpowered people in his first two starts. I don’t think this game is going to be a 2-1 pitcher’s duel or anything, but I don’t think it will get completely away from either pitcher either.
The Dodgers are a nice value at -130, and I like the UNDER. However, that 14.2 stat is a pretty harrowing one. I’ll go with the Dodgers tonight getting a good game out of Maeda and their bats supporting him enough to get a win. I lean UNDER as well, but my official play today is the Dodgers at a reasonable -130.