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Dodgers vs Rockies Pick MLB – July 3rd + Bonus Pick

It was a heck of a night for Homer Bailey and the Cincinnati Reds, as the young right-hander who grew up near the hometown of his idol, Nolan Ryan, became just the 26th pitcher in big league history to throw two no-hitters.  Making the feat even more improbable is the fact that the last no-hitter thrown in MLB last Fall was also by Homer Bailey, making him just the sixth pitcher in baseball history to throw the two most recent no-hitters in the league consecutively.  The most recent person on the list prior to Bailey?  Yup.  Nolan Ryan.

Our night wasn’t nearly as good as Nolan Ryan’s, but I did hit on both of my picks with the Angels winning 5-1 over St. Louis to pick up the win head-to-head as well as the cover on the Under 8.  That’s six winners in the last seven picks (with a result, one pick was no action).  Let’s try to keep it going tonight with a pick on a pair of teams heading in opposite directions in the NL West.

Los Angeles Dodgers -108 at Colorado Rockies -102 (Total: 9.5)

Zack Greinke (5-2, 3.94 ERA) vs.  Tyler Chatwood (4-1, 2.13 ERA)

Tyler Chatwood has been very good so far for the Rockies this season, with a 4-1 record and an ERA around two – but he is going against some big-time positive momentum with a healthy and heavy-hitting Dodger lineup coming to town.  Although the media attention (and deservedly so) has revolved around Yasiel Puig, it is far from a one-man show in Dodger town.

Los Angeles has won nine of their last ten games, and if you throw out the lone loss, a bizarre 16-1 defeat to Philly, they have outscored their opponents 46-18.  They are playing the dominant baseball many expected before the season, and it certainly helps that they have a healthy Matt Kemp, Adrien Gonzalez and Hanley Ramirez to go alongside the phenom Puig.

Colorado has been heading in the opposite direction, and injuries are a big part of it.  They are still missing Tulowitski, who was posting an MVP-caliber season before his injury, and yesterday added Dexter Fowler to the DL as well.

Chatwood has pitched much better than Greinke the last month, but I’m going to bank on the Dodger mojo continuing tonight.  Greinke has great stuff and is still getting back into pre-injury form.   Plus, with the run support Dodger starters have gotten recently, it is much easier to settle into a groove and pitch loose and comfortably.

I’ll take the Dodgers tonight at a good value near even money.  An even better wager is the UNDER.  Yes, the Dodgers are hitting, but they are facing a starter who hasn’t allowed more than two runs in an outing since being recalled in Mid May.  Greinke gets to face a battered Rockies lineup.  Nine and a half feels a little high to me.  I’ll take the UNDER.

Free Pick:  Los Angeles Dodgers to WIN -108 & Run TOTAL UNDER 9.5