The Milwaukee Brewers, at 17-32, have the worst team in baseball. So why I am I quietly bullish on the Brewers over the next few weeks? Two words. Jonathon Lucroy. The Brewers won 1-0 last night over the best team in the league, St. Louis Cardinals, and Lucroy was the biggest difference. He was masterful handling Mike Fiers and K-Rod, blocking at least a dozen balls in the dirt and calling a fantastic game behind the plate. Don’t be the least bit surprised to see the Brewers begin to play better baseball now that they have their catcher and team leader back in uniform. The Brew Crew isn’t contending this season, but they might be a nice sneaky value for a few weeks if they can make a surge from the depths of the National League and MLB. I’m not quite sure I trust Travy making his first start for them against the Cards tonight, but I will be keeping an eye on the Brewers value over the next few days.
We took the day off yesterday with a light slate of MLB action, but are ready to start the week today with a winner and build another winning overall week.
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Today’s Free Pick:
Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies (Total: 10) GAME TWO OF DOUBLEHEADER 8:40 EST
Zack Greinke vs. David Hale
A trip to Coors can be rocky for any pitcher, pardon the pun, but I think Greinke can handle it. He has allowed just a single run in each of his May starts, and even with a little spike today in the mountain air, that 10 runline total feels a bit steep.
The Rockies will counter with David Hale, who will be making just his second start of the season, and against the hard-hitting Dodgers no less. The Dodgers average almost five runs a game off right handers, so it could be a tough night for Hale trying to keep Gonzalez, Peterson and company in the yard.
These two haven’t quite done enough in recent meetings to justify the skyrocketed line tonight, especially given the season Greinke has turned in to this point. Coors isn’t an easy place to pitch but Greinke isn’t an easy guy to hit either. He has a 1.05 ERA over the last month and a WHIP of 0.81 in his last three outings. If he can hold the Rockies to a run or two, I don’t see the Dodgers notching nine and pushing the total over the threshold tonight.
Keep in mind this is GAME TWO of the doubleheader, so be cognizant if you are wagering on Rockies and Dodgers today that you are wagering on the correct game.
I’ll take the UNDER in the nightcap tonight and bank on a good outing yet again from Cy Young candidate Zack Greinke.