Last night’s DraftKings MLB DFS Picks simply didn’t get the job done, and the lineup was essentially doomed from the get go.
After a couple of pristine efforts to begin his Red Sox tenure, Nathan Eovaldi was roughed up big time by a weak Orioles lineup to the tune of eight runs (four earned) on 10 hits, and he did not register a single strikeout in the process.
Our second starter Shane Bieber enjoyed en excellent outing against the White Sox in Chicago, throwing 6.2 innings of shutout baseball to go along with eight strikeouts. Unfortunately, the Indians didn’t score a single run in support of Bieber, who ended up with a tough-luck no decision despite the strong outing.
Our main stack of the Yankees didn’t do much damage at all, which was very disappointing considering the matchup with a struggling Mike Minor and their respective numbers against left-handed pitching.
Our Angels low-owned mini-stack didn’t produce much of anything while Jorge Polanco’s double was about as much as we received from our three-man Twins stack.
The picks essentially stunk and we will look to do much better on this Saturday night, 10-game main slate!
BOS @ BAL
P – Trevor Bauer (CLE) – $12,500 vs.CWS
There are two big-time pitchers on the slate tonight that I would like to use to get our lineup started on a high note, and we are going to piece together a couple of low-cost, low-owned stacks as well. Bauer takes on a White Sox club that is an extremely targetable team in the strikeout department, even more so as of late. The White sox are tied with the Padres for the highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season at 25.7%, however over the last seven days they have punched out at a whopping 33.5% overall, by far the highest mark in baseball. Enter Bauer who is racking up strikeouts at an elite level, 31.3% to be exact, while pitching to a tidy 2.25 ERA and a 2.37 FIP. Against a weak White Sox lineup that is striking out more than anyone in baseball right now, Bauer is a layup as the top pitcher on the slate.
P – Aaron Nola (PHI) – $9,800 vs. SD
To be honest, I am liking the price we are getting with Nola here considering the matchup against the targetable Padres in the pitcher-friendly confines of Petco Park in San Diego. Nola isn’t racking up the punchouts at the same rate as Bauer, but he sports a nice 24.8% strikeout rate nonetheless and enters tonight’s contest with a 2.37 ERA and a 2.79 FIP on the season. Enhancing Nola’s strikeout upside is the aforementioned fact that the Padres are tied with the White Sox for the league’s highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching at a whopping 25.7% clip. We are targeting the two highest strikeout teams in baseball tonight with a couple of Cy Young candidate, which should get our lineup started on the right note.
C – Salvador Perez (KC) – $3,500 vs. STL
The Royals take on Cardinals right-hander Jack Flaherty tonight in Kansas City, and while Flaherty has been good on the whole this season, he hasn’t been overly sharp of late. He has allowed three earned runs or more in five of his last eight starts and four earned runs in three of his last eight. At the end of the day, this is a low-owned, low-cost stack while is required when spending up so much on pitching. Perez owns plenty of pop in his bat, and he is sacrificing average and OBP to do so. He owns just a .261 OBP against righties, but also a real sold .188 ISO while he’s clubbed 19 homers on the season, 13 of which have come against righties. He also owns a huge .266 ISO and .849 OPS so far in the second half, so let’s lock in the All-Star backup at a very reasonable cost.
1B – Lucas Duda (KC) – $3,700 vs. STL
Duda isn’t having the best season this year, but he too has pop in that bat, especially against right-handed pitching. He’s been awful against southpaws, but Duda enters play tonight sporting an attractive .197 ISO against right-handed pitching while his numbers jump to a .203 ISO and a whopping .943 OPS against righties at home this season. Although park dynamics aren’t favorable for hitters at Kauffman Stadium in KC, the high temperatures this time of the year make this venue more hitter-friendly. Look for Duda to capitalize on that fact tonight.
2B – Jeff McNeil (NYM) – $3,500 vs. MIA
Another low-cost, low-owned stack tonight will be the Mets as they visit Miami to take on right-hander Dan Straily and the Marlins. McNeil has simply hit for plenty of power at all levels this season. At Double-A, he hit right-handed pithing for a huge 1.188 OPS. At Triple-A, McNeil hit right-handers for another huge 1.089 OPS. So far at the big league level, the second baseman as hit right-handed pitching for a powerful .200 ISO and .904 OPS with two homers and two doubles in 40 at-bats. That production is certainly good enough for me to throw him into this lineup at a real cheap price tonight.
3B – Todd Frazier (NYM) – $3,700 vs. MIA
Frazier has certainly seen better seasons in the big leagues, but he still tends to run into one from time to time, so we will include him in this Mets stack as a result. The good news is that Frazier is sporting some reverse-splits this season, meaning he has hit right-handed pitching far better than he has lefties, which bodes well for his matchup with Straily. Frazier has produced a solid .167 ISO against righties this season to go along with a .721 OPS, while eight of his 10 homers and seven of his eight doubles have come against righties as well. He has two hits and scored a pair of runs in last night’s contest, so perhaps we can catch him on the upswing in this matchup tonight in Miami.
SS – Amed Rosario (NYM) – $3,000 vs. MIA
Rosario has been a fairly big disappointing in the big leagues so far after being a highly-touted prospect for many years, but he is a set to hit out of the leadoff spot tonight and brings some stolen base upside into this matchup as well. Rasrio has swiped 11 bases on the season, and he too is coming off a big game in last night’s contest where he went 3 for 5 with two RBI. He’s also stolen two bases over his last five contests. He seems to be playing well at the moment, and at this price out of the leadoff spot, we will gladly include him in this stack.
OF – Michael Conforto (NYM) – $4,000 vs. MIA
Conforto brings some real nice power upside to the table here against the right-hander Straily. He isn’t hitting to the same power levels we have seen in year’s past, but the young outfielder has still clubbed 14 homers on the season, 10 of which have come against right-handed pitching. We want the power of course, but it’s also worth mentioning Conforto owns an impressive .366 OBP against right-handers as well. There’s no doubt he has pop, so we will look for him to play some long ball tonight in Miami.
OF – Alex Gordon (KC) – $3,200 vs. STL
Gordon’s best days are behind him, but he has been hitting in the two-hole as of late for the Royals, which is a very nice spot to hit in terms of cross-category fantasy production. The good news is literally all of Gordon’s production comes against right-handed pitching as he owns a solid .758 OPS against righties, while all seven of his homers and 12 of his 14 doubles have come against righties as well. He also owns a powerful .184 ISO and .886 OPS against righties on the road, so this could be a sneaky-good matchup for the veteran outfielder tonight against Straily.
OF – Rosell Herrera (KC) – $3,200 vs. STL
Herrera has just one homer at the big league level so far and hasn’t hit for much power in general in the bigs this season, however he has hit for plenty of power at the Triple-A level prior to his call up. Herrera posted a powerful .233 ISO and .820 OPS with the Reds’ Triple-A affiliate this season before posting a huge .278 ISO and .922 OPS with the Royals Triple-A team after entering the KC organization. He’s also shown some speed at the minor league level as well, so perhaps he can unlock his power/speed combination as a low-owned player tonight against Straily.