We didn’t get any DraftKings MLB DFS Picks out yesterday, however we did on Saturday, with some uneven results at the end of the day.
We spent up big-time on pitching, and it delivered some nice results in that department as Trevor Bauer and Aaron Nola combined to throw 12.1 innings of one-run ball, with 13 strikeouts, albeit I was looking for some higher numbers in the punchout department considering the matchups. Still, can’t complain about that production.
While the four-man Mets stack produced a little bit with Amed Rosario and Todd Frazier both recording doubles and Michael Conforto reaching base four times, however our four-man Royals stack produced next to nothing, which made it tough for the picks to make any profits.
We are back to start a fresh week of DraftKings MLB DFS with tonight’s 10-game main slate!
P – Mike Foltynewicz (ATL) – $10,500 vs. MIA
Clayton Kershaw is on the slate at home against the Giants, but his strikeouts are way down this season, and he punched out just one in his last outing, so I am going to go with the hard-throwing Braves right-hander Foltynewicz in the nightcap of the Braves’ double-header with the Marlins. Foltynewicz is enjoying a breakout campaign with a 2.98 ERA on the season while he is also punching out opposing hitters at a real nice 28% clip. After a string of four subpar outings, Foltynewicz has allowed just three earned runs with 12 strikeouts over his last 11.2 innings, spanning two starts. He’s a rock-solid option on this slate.
P – Sean Reid-Foley (TOR) – $4,400 vs. KC
With our second starter, we are going to pay way down and nab Reid-Foley, one of the Blue Jays’ top prospects as he makes his MLB debut tonight in Kansas City. Reid-Foley pitched to a 2.03 ERA with a 29.2% strikeout rate at Double-A this season before pitching to a 3.50 ERA to go along with a 27.4% strikeout rate at the Triple-A level. The strikeout upside is nice, he seems to be preventing runs at an excellent clip, and this is a nice matchup for his big league debut. The Royals rank 27th with a .674 OPS against righties this season, and with the temperatures not expected to be too hot in Kansas City tonight, the venue is going to favor the pitchers this evening. I think we can extract big-time value from this matchup at this price.
C – Jose Briceno (LAA) – $3,000 vs. SD
We are going to kick off the position player portion here with a one-off catcher who could provide nice value considering his numbers against left-handed pitching as he gets set to take on Padres southpaw Clayton Richard tonight. Briceno is hitting .385 with a .231 ISO and 1.044 OPS against lefties so far in 26 at-bats at the MLB level after posting a 1.091 OPS at Triple-A against lefties in another small 22 at-bat sample size. The samples have been small, but it’s fairly clear he can hit lefties for power, so let’s lock in the low-owned backstop and look for value this evening.
1B – Freddie Freeman (ATL) – $4,800 vs. MIA
The Braves will face Marlins right-hander Merandy Gonzalez in the second game of their double-header today, and Gonzalez has a 5.71 ERA at the MLB level in 17.1 innings after coming straight up from Double-A. Keep an eye on the Braves’ confirmed lineup for this one as the double-header may tinker with the nightcap lineup, but Freeman should certainly be in both contests with the Braves in a pennant race. He is boasting some reverse-splits this season, but still owns a gaudy .907 OPS against right-handers on the season while five of his last seven hits have come in the form of a double over his last four games. He’s an easy play against Gonzalez tonight.
2B – Ozzie Albies (ATL) – $4,700 vs. MIA
The switch-hitting Albies also sports some better offensive numbers against left-handed pitching, but he still has hit righties for a powerful .214 ISO this season, which isn’t much lower than the .224 mark he has posted against left-handers. His cross-category upside is massive in this one as his 82 runs scored is tied for sixth in all of baseball while he’s hit 21 homers and stolen 12 bases as well. Albies homered yesterday, his first since July 11th, so perhaps we can catch him during a power surge for this one tonight.
3B – Jedd Gyorko (STL) – $4,100 vs. WAS
Tommy Milone makes another start for the Nationals tonight in St. Louis, and he was crushed for seven earned runs his last time out against the Braves, and he has also yielded an even 1.000 OPS to right-handed hitters in three outings this season. Enter Gyorko who has lit up left-handed pitching to the tune of a .271 ISO and 1.007 OPS on the season while his ISO climbs to .296 at home against lefties. He’s also 4 for 9 over his last two games, so we’re getting him while he’s swinging a hot bat for sure. Let’s look for his big-time numbers against lefties to continue against a very targetable southpaw in Milone.
SS – Paul DeJong (STL) – $4,200 vs. WAS
Continuing with our three-man Cardinals stack, DeJong is another asset that clobbers left-handed pitching. While his numbers are superior against righties this season, Over the course of his brief big league career, DeJong has hit lefties for a very powerful .248 ISO and .837 OPS, both of which are higher figures than his marks against right-handers. He’s hitting for a powerful .228 ISO since the All-Star break as well, and has clubbe2d three homers and three doubles over his last five games. He’s clearly white-hot at the dish in the power department, so lock the sophomore shortstop into your lineup tonight.
OF – Harrison Bader (STL) – $4,400 vs. WAS
Bader may seem a little pricey, however considering his numbers against lefties and the ensuing matchup with Milone, we have ourselves a real nice play here. Bader has crushed southpaws to the tune of a .228 ISO and .938 OPS this season, which comes as no surprise considering he posted a .400 ISO and 1.200 OPS against them in a small 20 at-bat sample size at the MLB level in 2017 after producing a massive 1.234 OPS against them in 90 at-bats at Triple-A last season. He’s obviously a lefty killer, so lock the young outfielder into your lineup tonight.
OF – Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) – $4,800 vs. MIA
Acuna Jr. has burst onto the MLB scene as advertised so far, but what I like about this matchup tonight is the fact that Acuna owns some reverse-splits so far, and has therefore hit right-hander for more power than he has lefties. Acuna owns a very powerful .254 ISO and .880 OPS against right-handed pitching this season, and he also sported reverse splits at both Double-A and Triple-A in the 2017 season as well. He’s once again projected to hit in the leadoff spot tonight, just make sure he is in the starting nine prior to lock.
OF – Nick Markakis (ATL) – $4,800 vs. MIA
Markakis is enjoying a huge bounce back season and is hitting for more power than he essentially has throughout his big league career. Markakis enters play tonight sporting a rock-solid .183 ISO against righties, but also an impressive .908 Ops as well. He’s also mashing in the second half of the season, producing a .266 ISO and 1.001 OPS since the All-Star break. He’s white-hot at the plate with a homer, four doubles and a triple over his last five games and is hitting .405 with a 1.125 so far in the month of August. This is a no-brainer in this four-man stack tonight.