Welcome to a fresh week of MLB DFS!
We have a solid 10-game slate to get our week started, so let’s make sure we bare down and notch ourselves some profits and get this week started on the right note!
P – Zack Wheeler (NYM) – $9,300 vs. SF
Wheeler has pitched very well for quite some time now and I like his upside tonight against the Giants. After posting an ERA north of 6.00 in the month of May, Wheeler has quietly been one of the most consistent pitchers in the National League. He posted an ERA of 3.26 in June, 3.13 in July and now owns a minuscule 1.42 ERA so far in the month of August in 19.0 innings. Wheeler also has nice strikeout numbers to go along with that consistency in the form of a 23.4% strikeout clip, a number that has jumped to a 27.4% clip so far this month. The Giants are projected to score only 3.7 runs in this matchup, so Wheeler seems like a solid bet in a favorable matchup.
P – Alex Wood (LAD) – $8,000 vs. STL
Like Wheeler, Wood has been very consistent as of late, albeit at a lower strikeout rate than Wheeler. Wood carries a 3.51 ERA for the season into tonight’s action and has also logged a very solid 3.48 FIP as well, suggesting he deserves every bit of that nice ERA figure. After logging a 2.73 ERA in the month of July, Wood has posted a 1.64 ERA in the month of August across 11 innings. Wood’s strikeout clip has risen to 21.7% for the month of August, slightly higher than his 21.2% clip for the season. Like Wheeler, Wood is facing a team with a low projected run total as the Cardinals are projected to score just 3.5 runs with the Dodgers listed at -171 favorites, suggesting Wood has some strong win upside to boot.
C – Evan Gattis (HOU) – $3,900 vs. SEA
The Astros are facing right-hander Felix Hernandez tonight in his return to the rotation due to a DL stint at the expense of James Paxton. Hernandez has been brutal this season, pitching to a 5.62 ERA for the season as a whole, but he also pitched to an unsightly 9.24 ERA for the month of July before posting a 5.94 ERA so far in the month of August. Enter Gattis who has hit left-handed pitching for more power than he has righties, but let’s also not scoff at his very powerful .226 ISO against right-handers as well. The hulking catcher also has one home run across nine career at-bats against King Felix.
1B – Matt Olson (OAK) – $4,100 vs. TEX
Olson and the Athletics also have themselves a nice matchup tonight as they take on veteran right-hander Bartolo Colon of the Rangers at the O.Co Coliseum in Oakland. Colon has pitched to a 5.19 ERA and a 5.13 FIP on the season while yielding plenty of home runs in the form of a 1.73 HR/9. Olson has plenty of power in that left-handed bat as evidenced by his 23 homers and 26 doubles while hitting for a huge .244 ISO and .817 against right-handed pitching. He also owns a .210 ISO and .812 OPS in the season’s second half, so there is plenty of home run upside in this matchup tonight.
2B – Jed Lowrie (OAK) – $4,400 vs. TEX
The switch-hitting Lowrie has superior power numbers against right-handed pitching, which is good news for this matchup against the right-handed Colon. For the season, Lowrie owns a .227 ISO and .853 OPS against righties compared to a .132 ISO and .736 OPS against left-handed pitching. Lowrie has also caught fire of the plate lately, especially in the power department, with two homers and four doubles over his last seven games. Lowrie is also 6 for 16 (.375) with three doubles in his career against the super-bet Colon.
3B – Matt Chapman (OAK) – $4,300 vs. TEX
Chapman has turned into a big-time player for the A’s this season, and he is hitting right-handers for more power than he is lefties this season. Against lefties, Chapman owns an impressive .190 ISO and .842 OPS on the season, however he is hitting righties for a superior .248 ISO and .881 OPS on the season. It’s also important to note that Chapman has obliterated opposing pitching in the season’s second half as he owns a massive .355 ISO and 1.119 OPS since the All-Star break. Finally, he has torched Colon for a .625 average with two homers and a triple across eight at-bats against the vet, good for an unworldy 2.325 OPS and 1.000 ISO.
SS – Marwin Gonzalez (HOU) – $3,500 vs. SEA
While he isn’t enjoying the same power output that he did last season, Gonzalez is still hitting right-handers for notably more power than he is lefties. Against lefties, the utility man sports a .132 ISO and .662 OPS on the season, but against righties, he owns a .156 ISO and .773 OPS. Gonzalez has seen his power production increase in the season’s second half as he has put together a .226 ISO and .878 OPS since the All-Star break. Lastly, against Hernandez, Gonzalez has went 6 for 18 (.333) with a homer and a double to go along with four RBI. He could provide some nice, low-owned production in this matchup tonight.
OF – Khris Davis (OAK) – $5,000 vs. TEX
Looking for some power upside? Look no further than Davis who is once again hitting for big-time power this season. The good news here is that Davis has some significant reverse splits, meaning he is hitting right-handed pitching for much more power off of lefties than he is off of lefties. Against righties, Davis has hit for a massive .325 ISO and .927 OPS. Since the All-Star break, Davis has erupted for a gigantic .467 ISO and 1.115 OPS with a whopping 15 home runs in 107 at-bats. He’s homered and doubled across 13 career at-bats against Colon.
OF – Josh Reddick (HOU) – $3,800 vs. SEA
Reddick also has the ability to provide nice value at this price against the struggling right-hander Hernandez. Reddick owns a solid power/speed upside as he’s hit 12 homers and has also swiped six bases on the season. The downside here is that Reddick also owns some reverse splits on the season, meaning the left-handed Reddick is hitting left-handed pitching better than he is righties. At the end of the day, we will still use Reddick as part of a thre-man Astros stack with all three players coming in under the $4K mark.
OF – Avisail Garcia (CWS) – $3,700 vs. MIN
Garcia and the White Sox take on left-handed rookie Stephen Gonsalves tonight, and he loves himself some left-handed pitching. Despite battling injuries for much of the season, Garcia has mashed lefties to the tune of a .286 ISO and .928 OPS on the season. Against lefties on the road, where he will be tonight, Garcia has mashed for a massive .441 ISO and 1.265 as well as a massive .853 SLG. Against a rookie lefty, Garcia provides big-time value upside at a real attractive price.