Welcome to a fresh week of DraftKings MLB DFS Picks!
It’s been a busy summer with family obligations, and I apologize for not getting any articles out over the last few days. With that said, we will be cranking out these picks throughout this week as we look forward to the final two months of the regular season!
We have a 10-game main slate to bite into tonight, so let’s make sure we get our week started on the right note!
NYY @ CWS
P – Trevor Bauer (CLE) – $12,300 vs. MIN
There are a few top-notch arms on this slate, but I am going to roll with Indians’ right-hander Trevor Bauer as my top arm for this 10-game slate. Bauer isn’t on the same roll he was when it seemed he was rattling off double-digit strikeout efforts every time he took the mound, but in terms of run-prevention combined with strikeout upside, it’s hard to fade the breakout star. Bauer enters play sporting a sparkling 2.34 ERA on the season to go along with a 2.43 FIP while his strikeout clip sits at a stout 30.7% on the campaign. Bauer’s last start came against the Twins, when he struck out just three, but he also struck out 11 Twins in a start earlier this season, and without Brian Dozier and Eduardo Escobar on board, this is certainly a weaker offense. Roll with Bauer in a very favorable home matchup tonight.
P – Matt Boyd (DET) – $7,600 vs. LAA
Boyd is a little bit of a roll of the dice tonight, but he has pitched very well lately and brings some decent strikeout upside with him into this matchup. After a stretch of five rough starts from mid-June through mid-July, Boyd has yielded just three earned run over his last 19 innings, spanning three starts, with 20 strikeout over that span. It turns out Boyd has a sneaky-good matchup on his hands as well, as the Angels rank 28th with just a .656 team OPS on the season against left-handed pitching. Their strikeout rate isn’t huge at 21.3% against southpaws, but I’m finding this a very solid, underrated matchup for the lefty Boyd against the Halos tonight in Anaheim.
C – Mike Zunino (SEA) – $3,600 vs. TEX
They may be a little chalky tonight, but I am going to roll out a four-man Mariners stack as they take on left-hander Martin Perez of the Rangers in the extremely favorable hitting confines of Globe Life Park in Arlington tonight. Zunino boasts some big-time raw power in his bat and will sacrifice batting average to achieve that power, something that I’m completely okay with. He owns a solid .160 ISO against lefties, but also a .218 ISO against righties, so we have some coverage when the bullpen comes in. He is one of many Mariners to enjoy big-time success against Perez as Zunino is 3 for 11 against Perez, but with two homers and two walks as well.
1B – Ryon Healy (SEA) – $3,800 vs. TEX
The first baseman Healy is cut from a similar cloth as Zunino in the sense that he doesn’t hit for much average, but he does hit for a good amount of power against both lefties and righties. Against lefties, Healy owns a powerful .200 ISO with six long balls on the season. Healy had recorded just two hits over an eight-game stretch, but enjoyed a two-hit night with a double in yesterday’s game against the Blue Jays, so perhaps we can catch him while he’s heating up. Healy is 4 for 13 with a homer against Perez, and IO am liking the value upside we are getting with the first baseman tonight.
2B – Jeff McNeil (NYM) – $3,400 vs. CIN
It turned out that second base was the last position to fill in this lineup, and McNeil seems like a nice, low-owned option as he takes on Reds right-hander Homer Bailey. Bailey has been good since returning from the DL in two starts, but he’s clearly been prone to the blow up as evidenced by his 5.87 ERA on the season. In 36 big league plate appearances this year, McNeil has handled himself quite well with a .310 average and a .912 OPS. McNeil didn’t have much problem hitting right-handed pitching in the minors this season as he compared a huge 1.089 OPS against righties at Triple-A prior to his call up. Some low-owned production from McNeil would go a long way in this lineup.
3B – Kyle Seager (SEA) – $3,800 vs. TEX
Seager is a little bit of a sneaky play in the sense he is in a lefty-on-lefty matchup, but he hits lefties quite well and has absolutely clobbered Perez in their history against one another. Seager is hitting just .204 against righties, but he is hitting lefties for a .282 average. He’s posted just a .664 OPS against righties, but a much improved .770 mark against lefties. In his career against Perez, Seager is 16 for 46 (.348) with four homers and a double. He is also likely to hit in the five-hole in this matchup tonight, so there should be plenty of RBI opportunities for a guy who has enjoyed this matchup plenty in the past.
SS – Marwin Gonzalez (HOU) – $3,200 vs. SF
We don’t have a ton of cash to spend across the board on bats as Trevor Bauer is a pricey arm, so we will roll out a low-cost, low-owned three-man Astros stack against Giants right-hander Dereck Rodriguez. Gonzalez hasn’t hit for as much power this season as he did last season, but his .151 ISO against righties tops his .125 mark against lefties for the switch-hitting utility man. Interestingly, he’s hit much better on the road as his .757 road OPS is much higher than the .614 mark he has posted at home this season. He won’t see much ownership at all, so don’t be afraid to roster the switch-hitter tonight.
OF – Nelson Cruz (SEA) – $5,200 vs. TEX
Cruz has to be one of the top plays on tonight’s slate as he owns big-time power against lefties, has mashed Perez in their history against one another and has also mashed at his former home park of Globe Life Park in Arlington. Cruz enters tonight’s contest destroying left-handed pitching for a huge .378 ISO and 1.024 OPS on the season. In his career against Perez, Cruz is 8 for 20 (.320) with three homers and a double. Lastly, Cruz has posted a career .922 OPS with a huge .561 SLG at Globe Life Park. This is a matchup you don’t want to fade tonight.
OF – Tony Kemp (HOU) – $3,600 vs. SF
Kemp may not be a popular guy on the slate, but with the injuries to the Astros lineup, Kemp will likely fulfill leadoff duties tonight in San Francisco. Kemp doesn’t bring much in terms of home run power with an overall .131 OPS on the season, but he has stolen eight bases in part-time duty this season, spanning just 182 at-bats. Kemp does get on base at a rather large .382 clip, which should provide some nice run-scoring chances with stolen base upside to boot. He could be a sneaky play on this slate.
OF – Jake Marisnick (HOU) – $3,500 vs. SF
Marisnick has had a year to forget in the batting average department, but he has hit for some solid power in the form of an overall .194 ISO on the campaign. He’s clubbed nine long balls on the season to go along with five doubles. He’s swiped only three bases this season, but he’s stolen as many as 24 in a big league season, so he’s not afraid to run. He completes our lineup and our three-man Astros stack tonight.